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Obolon Kiev U19 vs Vorskla Poltava U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Ukraine Ukraine

U19 League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Serdiuk A.
18' Event
Serdiuk A.
21' Event
Feshchenko O.

AI Match Summary

The U19 League 2024/2025 game between Obolon Kiev U19 and Vorskla Poltava U19 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vorskla Poltava U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Obolon Kiev U19
20%
Draws
51%
Vorskla Poltava U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vorskla Poltava U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Obolon Kiev U19 come out ahead of Vorskla Poltava U19 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Vorskla Poltava U19's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular U19 League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vorskla Poltava U19 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Obolon Kiev U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Vorskla Poltava U19 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Obolon Kiev U19 Vorskla Poltava U19
Matches Played 37 28
Wins 12 8
Draws 11 10
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2025 U19 League
Obolon Kiev U19 vs Vorskla Poltava U19
2:3
Aug 15, 2024 U19 League
Vorskla Poltava U19 vs Obolon Kiev U19
0:0
May 18, 2024 U19 League
Vorskla Poltava U19 vs Obolon Kiev U19
2:1
Nov 10, 2023 U19 League
Obolon Kiev U19 vs Vorskla Poltava U19
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Obolon Kiev U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Feshchenko O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nalyvaiko H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Vorskla Poltava U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Serdiuk A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Shevchenko O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Obolon Kiev U19 28 / 100
Vorskla Poltava U19 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Obolon Kiev U19 Vorskla Poltava U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vorskla Poltava U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vorskla Poltava U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Obolon Kiev U19's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Obolon Kiev U19 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Obolon Kiev U19 VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Obolon Kiev U19

(Home)
23 Sept
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya U19
1 : 2
Obolon Kiev U19
16 Sept
Obolon Kiev U19
0 : 2
Livyi Bereg U19
09 Sept
Oleksandriya U19
0 : 0
Obolon Kiev U19
03 Sept
Obolon Kiev U19
1 : 3
Rukh Lviv U19
26 Aug
Lviv U19
1 : 0
Obolon Kiev U19
Page 1 of 8

Vorskla Poltava U19

(Away)
23 May
Inhulets U19
3 : 4
Vorskla Poltava U19
16 May
LNZ Cherkasy U19
2 : 5
Vorskla Poltava U19
09 May
Vorskla Poltava U19
1 : 1
Ch. Odesa U19
03 May
Kolos Kovalivka U19
3 : 1
Vorskla Poltava U19
26 Apr
Vorskla Poltava U19
1 : 2
Veres Rivne U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dynamo Kyiv U19 30 26 2 2 104:12 80
2 Shakhtar U19 30 24 4 2 86:23 76
3 Karpaty U19 30 18 8 4 72:28 62
4 Kolos Kovalivka U19 30 18 7 5 64:30 61
5 Veres Rivne U19 30 14 6 10 39:33 48
6 Rukh Lviv U19 30 13 8 9 52:43 47
7 Zhytomyr U19 30 11 11 8 54:35 44
8 Obolon Kiev U19 30 11 6 13 41:47 39
9 Zorya U19 30 10 5 15 53:63 35
10 Vorskla Poltava U19 30 8 10 12 33:47 34
11 Kryvbas 2020 U19 30 7 10 13 41:56 31
12 Oleksandriya U19 30 8 7 15 42:61 31
13 Livyi Bereg U19 30 7 6 17 32:67 27
14 Ch. Odesa U19 30 5 4 21 28:67 19
15 Inhulets U19 30 4 6 20 26:74 18
16 LNZ Cherkasy U19 30 4 4 22 21:102 16
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 (League phase)