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Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Bansko

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Oborishte Panagyurishte and Bansko finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bansko.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Oborishte Panagyurishte
15%
Draws
35%
Bansko
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oborishte Panagyurishte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Oborishte Panagyurishte carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Oborishte Panagyurishte a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Oborishte Panagyurishte Clean Sheet 18%
Bansko Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oborishte Panagyurishte Bansko
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.59 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Third League - South-West
Bansko vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
0:4
May 2, 2026 Third League - South-West
Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Bansko
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 Third League - South-West
Bansko vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
2:1
May 14, 2025 Third League - South-West
Bansko vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
0:1
Oct 24, 2024 Third League - South-West
Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Bansko
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oborishte Panagyurishte 85 / 100
Bansko 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oborishte Panagyurishte Bansko

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oborishte Panagyurishte Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Oborishte Panagyurishte stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Oborishte Panagyurishte found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Bansko's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Oborishte Panagyurishte VS Bansko
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Oborishte Panagyurishte

(Home)
19 Sept
Oborishte Panagyurishte
3 : 2
Strumska Slava
13 Sept
Oborishte Panagyurishte
1 : 0
Belasitsa Petrich
05 Sept
Bansko
0 : 4
Oborishte Panagyurishte
29 Aug
Oborishte Panagyurishte
0 : 0
Minyor Pernik
22 Aug
Pirin Razlog
2 : 4
Oborishte Panagyurishte
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Bansko

(Away)
19 Sept
Bansko
3 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
12 Sept
Strumska Slava
3 : 0
Bansko
05 Sept
Bansko
0 : 4
Oborishte Panagyurishte
29 Aug
Bansko
4 : 1
Belasitsa Petrich
22 Aug
Minyor Pernik
1 : 2
Bansko
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rilski Sportist 34 25 5 4 58:23 80
2 Strumska Slava 34 20 5 9 71:45 65
3 Slavia Sofia 2 34 17 6 11 68:44 57
4 Botev Ihtiman 34 14 9 11 53:40 51
5 Kyustendil 34 15 5 14 49:52 50
6 CSKA Sofia III 34 15 5 14 49:43 50
7 Oborishte Panagyurishte 34 14 7 13 43:37 49
8 Balkan Botevgrad 34 13 10 11 50:45 49
9 Septemvri Sofia 2 34 13 9 12 50:43 48
10 Septemvri Simitli 34 13 8 13 41:40 47
11 Kostinbrod 34 14 5 15 47:51 47
12 Pirin Razlog 34 13 6 15 43:48 45
13 Bansko 34 11 11 12 39:45 44
14 Slivnishki Geroy 34 11 9 14 40:49 42
15 Levski Sofia II 34 11 7 16 30:44 40
16 Gotse Delchev 34 11 4 19 43:70 37
17 Germaneya 34 4 6 24 38:75 18
18 Bistritsa 34 11 5 18 44:62 38
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)