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Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Pirin Razlog

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Oborishte Panagyurishte and Pirin Razlog finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oborishte Panagyurishte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Oborishte Panagyurishte
33%
Draws
27%
Pirin Razlog
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Oborishte Panagyurishte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Oborishte Panagyurishte have managed 0.75 goals a game lately — Pirin Razlog are scoring more at 1.25.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Oborishte Panagyurishte taking it.
  • Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Oborishte Panagyurishte Clean Sheet 20%
Pirin Razlog Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oborishte Panagyurishte Pirin Razlog
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Third League - South-West
Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Pirin Razlog
3:1
Nov 1, 2025 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
1:1
May 24, 2025 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
2:5
Nov 9, 2024 Third League - South-West
Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Pirin Razlog
2:0
Feb 17, 2024 Third League - South-West
Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Pirin Razlog
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oborishte Panagyurishte 40 / 100
Pirin Razlog 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oborishte Panagyurishte Pirin Razlog

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OBO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Oborishte Panagyurishte found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Pirin Razlog's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Oborishte Panagyurishte remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Oborishte Panagyurishte VS Pirin Razlog
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rilski Sportist34255458:2380
2Strumska Slava34205971:4565
3Slavia Sofia 2341761168:4457
4Botev Ihtiman341491153:4051
5Kyustendil341551449:5250
6CSKA Sofia III341551449:4350
7Oborishte Panagyurishte341471343:3749
8Balkan Botevgrad3413101150:4549
9Septemvri Sofia 2341391250:4348
10Septemvri Simitli341381341:4047
11Kostinbrod341451547:5147
12Pirin Razlog341361543:4845
13Bansko3411111239:4544
14Slivnishki Geroy341191440:4942
15Levski Sofia II341171630:4440
16Gotse Delchev341141943:7037
17Germaneya34462438:7518
18Bistritsa341151844:6238