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Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Velbazhd

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Oborishte Panagyurishte in this Third League - South-West 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oborishte Panagyurishte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Oborishte Panagyurishte
30%
Draws
0%
Velbazhd
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oborishte Panagyurishte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Oborishte Panagyurishte have won more games recently than Velbazhd.
  • Oborishte Panagyurishte are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Oborishte Panagyurishte Clean Sheet 20%
Velbazhd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oborishte Panagyurishte Velbazhd
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 4
Draws 8 4
Losses 8 22
Goals Scored 1.48 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.9 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2021 Third League - South-West
Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Velbazhd
4:0
Oct 31, 2020 Third League - South-West
Velbazhd vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oborishte Panagyurishte 85 / 100
Velbazhd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oborishte Panagyurishte Velbazhd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OBO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oborishte Panagyurishte scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Oborishte Panagyurishte stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Velbazhd lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oborishte Panagyurishte VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Oborishte Panagyurishte

(Home)
08 Aug
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 1
Oborishte Panagyurishte
01 Aug
Oborishte Panagyurishte
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia III
30 May
Oborishte Panagyurishte
5 : 1
Germaneya
23 May
Slavia Sofia 2
1 : 1
Oborishte Panagyurishte
16 May
Oborishte Panagyurishte
3 : 1
Pirin Razlog
Page 1 of 7

Velbazhd

(Away)
29 May
Slivnishki Geroy
6 : 1
Velbazhd
22 May
Velbazhd
1 : 2
Pirin Razlog
15 May
Botev Ihtiman
5 : 0
Velbazhd
12 May
Velbazhd
0 : 5
Belasitsa Petrich
08 May
Oborishte Panagyurishte
4 : 0
Velbazhd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marek 34 25 7 2 84:24 82
2 Kyustendil 34 26 4 4 63:14 79
3 Belasitsa Petrich 34 23 9 2 68:27 78
4 Vihren 34 23 6 5 63:25 75
5 Oborishte Panagyurishte 34 18 6 10 55:41 60
6 Balkan Botevgrad 34 16 10 8 62:34 58
7 Chavdar Etropole 34 15 6 13 62:46 51
8 Botev Ihtiman 34 13 7 14 53:41 46
9 Gotse Delchev 34 13 6 15 37:32 45
10 Pirin Razlog 34 11 8 15 40:59 41
11 Nadezhda Dobroslavci 34 10 6 18 40:56 36
12 Slivnishki Geroy 34 9 9 16 38:44 36
13 Rilski Sportist 34 9 7 18 30:45 34
14 Bansko 34 10 4 20 28:47 34
15 Levski Chepintsi 34 10 4 20 34:72 34
16 Granit Vladaya 34 9 5 20 34:65 32
17 Perun 34 6 4 24 25:77 22
18 Velbazhd 34 4 4 26 16:83 16
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