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OC Charleroi vs Marseille

World World

Club Friendly 2025 KNVB Sportcentrum, Zeist
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Ferber R.
43'
Nadir B.
53'
Murillo M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between OC Charleroi and Marseille finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
OC Charleroi
15%
Draws
64%
Marseille
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marseille

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • OC Charleroi haven't matched Marseille's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Marseille a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
OC Charleroi Clean Sheet 22%
Marseille Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OC Charleroi Marseille
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 4 14
Draws 6 3
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.16 1.93
Goals Conceded 2 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2025 Club Friendly
OC Charleroi vs Marseille
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

OC Charleroi Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferber R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Marseille Compare

Top Goalscorer Greenwood M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OC Charleroi 13 / 100
Marseille 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OC Charleroi Marseille

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marseille Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OC Charleroi found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (25 games).

Marseille's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: OC Charleroi stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

OC Charleroi VS Marseille
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

OC Charleroi

(Home)
01 Aug
Tienen
1 : 1
OC Charleroi
28 Jun
Onhaye
1 : 5
OC Charleroi
17 Apr
Anderlecht U23
5 : 0
OC Charleroi
11 Apr
OC Charleroi
0 : 1
Lierse SK
05 Apr
RFC Liege
2 : 1
OC Charleroi
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Marseille

(Away)
21 Aug
Marseille
4 : 0
Strasbourg
14 Aug
Marseille
1 : 2
Atl. Madrid
09 Aug
Marseille
3 : 1
Ath Bilbao
05 Aug
Marseille
3 : 0
Al-Shahaniya
30 Jul
Marseille
2 : 1
Nimes
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