Sport Picks
OC Charleroi vs RFC Seraing
Belgium
Challenger Pro League 2025/2026 Stade de la Neuville, Charleroi 
Match Events
14'
14'
Muland M.
21'
21'
Scarpinati M.
34'
34'
Da Costa E.
AI Match Summary
RFC Seraing in this Challenger Pro League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored RFC Seraing.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: OC Charleroi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- OC Charleroi haven't matched RFC Seraing's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
OC Charleroi Clean Sheet 22%
RFC Seraing Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | OC Charleroi | RFC Seraing |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 17 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.12 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.19 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 11, 2026 Challenger Pro League
OC Charleroi vs RFC Seraing
2:4
Aug 30, 2025 Challenger Pro League
RFC Seraing vs OC Charleroi
3:1
Apr 4, 2020 National Division 1
OC Charleroi vs RFC Seraing
0:0
Oct 12, 2019 National Division 1
RFC Seraing vs OC Charleroi
1:2
Feb 3, 2007 Second Amateur Division Group VFV B
OC Charleroi vs RFC Seraing
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
OC Charleroi Compare
Top Goalscorer Ephestion T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mbalanda J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
RFC Seraing Compare
Top Goalscorer Muland M.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
OC Charleroi 37 / 100
RFC Seraing 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
OC Charleroi RFC Seraing
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick RFC Seraing Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: RFC Seraing conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Solid form: OC Charleroi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
RFC Seraing's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
OC Charleroi VS RFC Seraing
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
OC Charleroi
(Home) 05 Sept
Renaissance Mons
3 : 0 OC Charleroi
30 Aug
Onhaye
0 : 2 OC Charleroi
26 Aug
OC Charleroi
0 : 5 St. Liege U23
01 Aug
Tienen
1 : 1 OC Charleroi
28 Jun
Onhaye
1 : 5 OC Charleroi
Page 1 of 6
26 Aug
OC Charleroi
0 : 5 St. Liege U23
11 Apr
OC Charleroi
0 : 1 Lierse SK
20 Mar
OC Charleroi
1 : 2 Genk U23
11 Mar
OC Charleroi
2 : 4 RFC Seraing
07 Mar
OC Charleroi
0 : 2 RWDM Brussels
Page 1 of 2
RFC Seraing
(Away) 04 Sept
Dender
2 : 0 RFC Seraing
30 Aug
RFC Seraing
1 : 1 Lierse SK
22 Aug
Club Brugge U23
3 : 2 RFC Seraing
14 Aug
RFC Seraing
0 : 2 Sporting Lokeren
08 Aug
Eupen
1 : 3 RFC Seraing
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
Dender
2 : 0 RFC Seraing
22 Aug
Club Brugge U23
3 : 2 RFC Seraing
08 Aug
Eupen
1 : 3 RFC Seraing
01 Aug
Flenu
0 : 3 RFC Seraing
26 Jul
St. Liege
2 : 1 RFC Seraing
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SK Beveren | 32 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 74:23 | 88 |
| 2 | Kortrijk | 32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 59:33 | 67 |
| 3 | Beerschot VA | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 52:31 | 64 |
| 4 | RFC Liege | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 44:39 | 53 |
| 5 | Lommel SK | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 59:46 | 53 |
| 6 | Patro Eisden | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 44:40 | 51 |
| 7 | Eupen | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 44:36 | 47 |
| 8 | Sporting Lokeren | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 48:45 | 42 |
| 9 | Gent U23 | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 42:51 | 41 |
| 10 | Lierse SK | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:42 | 38 |
| 11 | RFC Seraing | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 37:44 | 35 |
| 12 | Francs Borains | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 33:47 | 34 |
| 13 | RWDM Brussels | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 50:54 | 33 |
| 14 | Anderlecht U23 | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | 31 |
| 15 | Genk U23 | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 42:59 | 31 |
| 16 | Club Brugge U23 | 32 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 33:55 | 21 |
| 17 | OC Charleroi | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 26:68 | 16 |
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