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OC Charleroi vs St. Liege U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - ACFF
Wed, Aug 26, 2026
0 - 5
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Lioka J.

AI Match Summary

OC Charleroi host St. Liege U23 in the National Division 1 - ACFF. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: OC Charleroi at 1.16 goals for, 2.12 against; St. Liege U23 at 1.21 for, 1.18 against. Past meetings favor OC Charleroi slightly — 2-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 26, 2026, ending 0:5. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.50, favoring St. Liege U23. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
OC Charleroi
20%
Draws
42%
St. Liege U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St. Liege U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • St. Liege U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • St. Liege U23 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • OC Charleroi have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
OC Charleroi Clean Sheet 16%
St. Liege U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OC Charleroi St. Liege U23
Matches Played 25 28
Wins 5 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.16 1.21
Goals Conceded 2.12 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
OC Charleroi vs St. Liege U23
0:5
Nov 24, 2024 National Division 1 - ACFF
St. Liege U23 vs OC Charleroi
1:3
Oct 5, 2024 National Division 1 - ACFF
OC Charleroi vs St. Liege U23
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

OC Charleroi Compare

Top Goalscorer Lioka J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

St. Liege U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OC Charleroi 23 / 100
St. Liege U23 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OC Charleroi St. Liege U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Liege U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

OC Charleroi's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

St. Liege U23 let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: OC Charleroi stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

OC Charleroi VS St. Liege U23
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

OC Charleroi

(Home)
24 Oct
Union Rochefortoise
4 : 0
OC Charleroi
17 Oct
OC Charleroi
3 : 1
RWDM Brussels
10 Oct
Charleroi B
1 : 1
OC Charleroi
03 Oct
OC Charleroi
1 : 1
Meux
30 Sept
Flenu
3 : 4
OC Charleroi
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St. Liege U23

(Away)
25 Oct
Charleroi B
1 : 0
St. Liege U23
18 Oct
St. Liege U23
1 : 0
Flenu
11 Oct
St. Liege U23
4 : 1
Onhaye
07 Oct
St. Liege U23
3 : 2
Renaissance Mons
03 Oct
Union Rochefortoise
1 : 0
St. Liege U23
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Rochefortoise 10 6 2 2 21:9 20
2 Meux 10 6 1 3 16:9 19
3 RWDM Brussels 10 6 1 3 15:12 19
4 St. Gilloise 2 10 5 3 2 17:10 18
5 Renaissance Mons 10 5 2 3 22:16 17
6 Tubize-Braine 10 5 2 3 15:11 17
7 St. Liege U23 10 4 1 5 13:8 13
8 Charleroi B 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
9 OC Charleroi 10 3 3 4 13:22 12
10 Habay La Neuve 9 2 3 4 8:12 9
11 Onhaye 9 2 1 6 10:20 7
12 Flenu 10 0 1 9 10:31 1
Promotion - National Division 1 - ACFF (Promotion Group)
Relegation - National Division 1 - ACFF (Relegation Group)