Sport Picks

Stadium Background

OC Charleroi vs St. Liege U23

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - ACFF
Wed, Aug 26, 2026
0 - 5
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Lioka J.

AI Match Summary

OC Charleroi host St. Liege U23 in the National Division 1 - ACFF. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: OC Charleroi at 1.12 goals for, 2.15 against; St. Liege U23 at 1.14 for, 1.38 against. Past meetings favor OC Charleroi slightly — 2-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 26, 2026, ending 0:5. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 1.69, favoring St. Liege U23. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
OC Charleroi
35%
Draws
32%
St. Liege U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • St. Liege U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • OC Charleroi are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • OC Charleroi have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
OC Charleroi Clean Sheet 13%
St. Liege U23 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OC Charleroi St. Liege U23
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 4 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.12 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.15 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
OC Charleroi vs St. Liege U23
0:5
Nov 24, 2024 National Division 1 - ACFF
St. Liege U23 vs OC Charleroi
1:3
Oct 5, 2024 National Division 1 - ACFF
OC Charleroi vs St. Liege U23
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

OC Charleroi Compare

Top Goalscorer Lioka J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

St. Liege U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OC Charleroi 40 / 100
St. Liege U23 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OC Charleroi St. Liege U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

St. Liege U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

OC Charleroi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

OC Charleroi's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Scoring Trends

OC Charleroi VS St. Liege U23
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

OC Charleroi

(Home)
12 Sept
OC Charleroi
1 : 1
St. Gilloise 2
05 Sept
Renaissance Mons
3 : 0
OC Charleroi
30 Aug
Onhaye
0 : 2
OC Charleroi
26 Aug
OC Charleroi
0 : 5
St. Liege U23
01 Aug
Tienen
1 : 1
OC Charleroi
Page 1 of 6

St. Liege U23

(Away)
13 Sept
Habay La Neuve
0 : 0
St. Liege U23
06 Sept
St. Liege U23
0 : 1
Meux
30 Aug
St. Liege U23
0 : 1
Tubize-Braine
26 Aug
OC Charleroi
0 : 5
St. Liege U23
10 May
St. Liege U23
1 : 1
Crossing Schaerbeek
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Meux 4 4 0 0 12:2 12
2 RWDM Brussels 4 4 0 0 7:1 12
3 Union Rochefortoise 4 3 0 1 11:5 9
4 Tubize-Braine 4 2 1 1 5:6 7
5 Onhaye 4 2 0 2 4:5 6
6 St. Liege U23 4 1 1 2 5:2 4
7 St. Gilloise 2 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
8 Charleroi B 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
9 Renaissance Mons 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
10 OC Charleroi 4 1 1 2 3:9 4
11 Habay La Neuve 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
12 Flenu 4 0 1 3 4:11 1
Promotion - National Division 1 - ACFF (Promotion Group)
Relegation - National Division 1 - ACFF (Relegation Group)