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Ocean Kerch vs Feodosiya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea)
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Valenko A.
28' Event
Abdokov A.
39' Event
Goloveshchenko D.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League (Crimea) game between Ocean Kerch and Feodosiya finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ocean Kerch.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ocean Kerch
15%
Draws
0%
Feodosiya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ocean Kerch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ocean Kerch carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ocean Kerch's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Ocean Kerch Clean Sheet 13%
Feodosiya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ocean Kerch Feodosiya
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 6
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.28 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.64
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs Feodosiya
5:1
May 16, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Feodosiya vs Ocean Kerch
2:1
Mar 28, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs Feodosiya
3:1
Nov 9, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Feodosiya vs Ocean Kerch
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs Feodosiya
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ocean Kerch Compare

Top Goalscorer Valenko A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdokov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Feodosiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Goloveshchenko D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ocean Kerch 84 / 100
Feodosiya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ocean Kerch Feodosiya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ocean Kerch Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Feodosiya lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Feodosiya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Ocean Kerch scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Ocean Kerch VS Feodosiya
1 Goals Scored 0.88
2.5 Goals Conceded 3.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ocean Kerch

(Home)
03 Oct
Ocean Kerch
4 : 1
Sparta-KT
27 Sept
Ocean Kerch
0 : 2
Zarechnoye
19 Sept
Ocean Kerch
1 : 2
GFK Yalta
05 Sept
TSK Simferopol
2 : 1
Ocean Kerch
30 Aug
Ocean Kerch
5 : 1
Feodosiya
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Feodosiya

(Away)
27 Sept
MAK
4 : 0
Feodosiya
09 Sept
Zarechnoye
5 : 0
Feodosiya
05 Sept
Feodosiya
3 : 6
GFK Yalta
30 Aug
Ocean Kerch
5 : 1
Feodosiya
28 Jun
TSK Simferopol
5 : 1
Feodosiya
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