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Ocean Kerch vs GFK Yalta

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea)
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Tsakoev Z.
47' Event
Kotov S.
54' Event
Golub I.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League (Crimea) game between Ocean Kerch and GFK Yalta finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward GFK Yalta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Ocean Kerch
15%
Draws
64%
GFK Yalta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GFK Yalta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • GFK Yalta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives GFK Yalta a 64% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Premier League (Crimea) fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • GFK Yalta have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Ocean Kerch Clean Sheet 10%
GFK Yalta Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ocean Kerch GFK Yalta
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.41 2.53
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 3.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs GFK Yalta
1:2
Jun 6, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
GFK Yalta vs Ocean Kerch
3:1
Apr 18, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs GFK Yalta
0:2
Nov 16, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Ocean Kerch vs GFK Yalta
0:3
Sep 28, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
GFK Yalta vs Ocean Kerch
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ocean Kerch Compare

Top Goalscorer Golub I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

GFK Yalta Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsakoev Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kotov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.13
Avg xA / game 1.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ocean Kerch 10 / 100
GFK Yalta 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ocean Kerch GFK Yalta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GFK Yalta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

GFK Yalta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Ocean Kerch's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Ocean Kerch remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ocean Kerch VS GFK Yalta
1.13 Goals Scored 4
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ocean Kerch

(Home)
19 Sept
Ocean Kerch
1 : 2
GFK Yalta
05 Sept
TSK Simferopol
2 : 1
Ocean Kerch
30 Aug
Ocean Kerch
5 : 1
Feodosiya
27 Jun
MAK
3 : 0
Ocean Kerch
20 Jun
Sparta-KT
0 : 0
Ocean Kerch
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GFK Yalta

(Away)
19 Sept
Ocean Kerch
1 : 2
GFK Yalta
09 Sept
TSK Simferopol
4 : 0
GFK Yalta
05 Sept
Feodosiya
3 : 6
GFK Yalta
30 Aug
GFK Yalta
2 : 1
MAK
27 Jun
GFK Yalta
9 : 0
Sparta-KT
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