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Oddevold vs Varberg

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Rimnersvallen, Uddevalla
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Mehmed E.
Assist: Forsberg E.
19' Event
Werner O.
21'
Borgelin S.

AI Match Summary

Varberg in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Varberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Oddevold
44%
Draws
20%
Varberg
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Varberg have won more games recently than Oddevold.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Oddevold Clean Sheet 14%
Varberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oddevold Varberg
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 15
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.75 2
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Superettan
Oddevold vs Varberg
2:4
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Varberg vs Oddevold
0:0
Sep 28, 2025 Superettan
Varberg vs Oddevold
1:1
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Oddevold vs Varberg
0:3
Jun 22, 2025 Superettan
Oddevold vs Varberg
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oddevold Compare

Top Goalscorer Mehmed E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iglicar Berntsson O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Varberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Arlig W.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Werner O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oddevold 35 / 100
Varberg 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oddevold Varberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oddevold scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Varberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Oddevold went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oddevold VS Varberg
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Oddevold

(Home)
18 Jul
Oddevold
2 : 4
Varberg
27 Jun
Nordic United
3 : 3
Oddevold
22 Jun
Oddevold
0 : 0
Ljungskile
14 Jun
Norrby
0 : 2
Oddevold
09 Jun
Oddevold
1 : 2
Norrkoping
Page 1 of 6

Varberg

(Away)
18 Jul
Oddevold
2 : 4
Varberg
11 Jul
Varberg
4 : 2
Norrby
27 Jun
Varberg
2 : 1
Oster
22 Jun
Varberg
2 : 3
Landskrona
15 Jun
Norrkoping
2 : 0
Varberg
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Falkenberg1694332:2431
2Varberg1593332:1930
3Norrkoping1592426:1029
4Ostersund1675426:2126
5Landskrona1574422:1625
6Nordic United1574425:2225
7Oster1572624:2523
8Helsingborg1572629:3123
9Ljungskile1664623:2122
10Oddevold1555528:2620
11Sandviken1654725:2519
12Norrby1639421:2318
13Brage1645728:2917
14Orebro1535713:2214
15Varnamo16321117:3411
16Sundsvall16301313:369
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)