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Oddevold vs Varberg

Sweden Sweden

Superettan Rimnersvallen, Uddevalla
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Mehmed E.
Assist: Forsberg E.
19' Event
Werner O.
21'
Borgelin S.

AI Match Summary

Varberg in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Varberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Oddevold
20%
Draws
33%
Varberg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Oddevold

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Varberg have won more games recently than Oddevold.
  • Oddevold are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Oddevold Clean Sheet 17%
Varberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oddevold Varberg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.62 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Superettan
Varberg vs Oddevold
3:1
Jul 18, 2026 Superettan
Oddevold vs Varberg
2:4
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Varberg vs Oddevold
0:0
Sep 28, 2025 Superettan
Varberg vs Oddevold
1:1
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Oddevold vs Varberg
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oddevold Compare

Top Goalscorer Mehmed E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iglicar Berntsson O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Varberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Arlig W.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Werner O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oddevold 39 / 100
Varberg 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oddevold Varberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oddevold Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oddevold scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Varberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Oddevold went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oddevold VS Varberg
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Oddevold

(Home)
13 Sept
Norrkoping
0 : 0
Oddevold
09 Sept
Sandviken
0 : 1
Oddevold
05 Sept
Oddevold
2 : 1
Falkenberg
30 Aug
Varberg
3 : 1
Oddevold
23 Aug
Oddevold
3 : 1
Helsingborg
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Varberg

(Away)
14 Sept
Norrby
1 : 2
Varberg
10 Sept
Varberg
0 : 2
Norrkoping
05 Sept
Varnamo
1 : 1
Varberg
30 Aug
Varberg
3 : 1
Oddevold
25 Aug
Orebro
2 : 1
Varberg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 24 16 4 4 45:15 52
2 Falkenberg 24 13 5 6 46:33 44
3 Ostersund 24 11 9 4 33:24 42
4 Varberg 24 12 5 7 41:31 41
5 Landskrona 24 10 7 7 35:25 37
6 Oddevold 24 9 9 6 37:32 36
7 Oster 24 11 3 10 37:35 36
8 Nordic United 24 9 9 6 37:36 36
9 Sandviken 24 9 7 8 39:31 34
10 Helsingborg 24 8 5 11 36:45 29
11 Varnamo 24 7 5 12 31:44 26
12 Ljungskile 24 6 7 11 29:35 25
13 Orebro 24 5 9 10 25:35 24
14 Norrby 24 4 11 9 28:35 23
15 Brage 24 5 8 11 37:45 23
16 Sundsvall 24 5 1 18 16:51 16
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)