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Odra Opole vs Polonia Warszawa

Poland Poland

Division 1 2025/2026 Itaka Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Kobusinski S.
Assist: Tront D.
43'
Kobusinski S.
46'
Sub
Pochciol J. In: Ramos L.
Out: Pochciol J.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2025/2026 game between Odra Opole and Polonia Warszawa finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Polonia Warszawa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Odra Opole
28%
Draws
22%
Polonia Warszawa
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Odra Opole

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Polonia Warszawa come out ahead of Odra Opole on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Odra Opole taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Polonia Warszawa have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Odra Opole Clean Sheet 20%
Polonia Warszawa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Odra Opole Polonia Warszawa
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 8 13
Draws 8 3
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Division 1
Odra Opole vs Polonia Warszawa
1:2
Nov 23, 2025 Division 1
Polonia Warszawa vs Odra Opole
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 Division 1
Odra Opole vs Polonia Warszawa
0:1
Sep 14, 2024 Division 1
Polonia Warszawa vs Odra Opole
3:0
May 19, 2024 Division 1
Polonia Warszawa vs Odra Opole
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Odra Opole Compare

Top Goalscorer Kobusinski S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Polonia Warszawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Vega D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zjawinski L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Odra Opole 49 / 100
Polonia Warszawa 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Odra Opole Polonia Warszawa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ODR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Odra Opole scored in 62% of their last 26 games.

Defensive concern: Polonia Warszawa conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Polonia Warszawa has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Odra Opole VS Polonia Warszawa
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wisla342011372:3271
2Slask Wroclaw341711669:4762
3KS Wieczysta Krakow34169970:4757
4Chrobry Glogow341671148:3655
5LKS Lodz341591056:4854
6Polonia Warszawa341581152:4953
7Ruch Chorzow341411954:4653
8Legnica341571252:5352
9Puszcza341213945:4049
10Polonia Bytom341381356:5047
11Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki3411121151:5445
12Odra Opole3411111234:4044
13S. Rzeszow341271549:6043
14Stal Mielec341061851:6236
15Pogon Siedlce34991633:4336
16Pruszkow34772040:6828
17Leczna345121739:6227
18Tychy34582140:7423