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Stadium Background

Odra Opole vs Warta Poznan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 1 Itaka Arena, Opole
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Piroch J.
13' Event
Najemski A.
Own Goal
24'
Apolinarski J.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Odra Opole and Warta Poznan finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Odra Opole.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Odra Opole
15%
Draws
48%
Warta Poznan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Warta Poznan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Warta Poznan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Warta Poznan's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Odra Opole Clean Sheet 16%
Warta Poznan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Odra Opole Warta Poznan
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 8 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Division 1
Odra Opole vs Warta Poznan
3:1
May 18, 2025 Division 1
Warta Poznan vs Odra Opole
1:0
Nov 9, 2024 Division 1
Odra Opole vs Warta Poznan
0:0
Jun 13, 2020 Division 1
Odra Opole vs Warta Poznan
2:0
Sep 18, 2019 Division 1
Warta Poznan vs Odra Opole
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Odra Opole Compare

Top Goalscorer Feliks M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Piroch J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Warta Poznan Compare

Top Goalscorer Kusztal P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Odra Opole 28 / 100
Warta Poznan 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Odra Opole Warta Poznan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Warta Poznan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Warta Poznan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Odra Opole has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Odra Opole's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Odra Opole VS Warta Poznan
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Odra Opole

(Home)
02 Oct
Gornik Zabrze
0 : 2
Odra Opole
19 Sept
Termalica Bruk-Bet
1 : 0
Odra Opole
13 Sept
Odra Opole
0 : 1
S. Rzeszow
05 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 1
Odra Opole
01 Sept
Odra Opole
2 : 1
Wisla
Page 1 of 6

Warta Poznan

(Away)
03 Oct
Chrobry Glogow
1 : 3
Warta Poznan
18 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 2
Puszcza
12 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 0
Arka Gdynia
04 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 0
Warta Poznan
30 Aug
Legnica
2 : 1
Warta Poznan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 9 5 3 1 15:8 18
2 Termalica Bruk-Bet 9 5 1 3 14:12 16
3 Warta Poznan 9 5 0 4 17:13 15
4 LKS Lodz 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
5 Legnica 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
6 Polonia Warszawa 9 4 2 3 15:12 14
7 S. Rzeszow 9 4 2 3 10:15 14
8 Lechia Gdansk 9 4 1 4 17:15 13
9 Chrobry Glogow 9 3 3 3 11:8 12
10 Pogon Siedlce 9 3 3 3 9:8 12
11 Ruch Chorzow 9 3 3 3 9:11 12
12 Arka Gdynia 9 3 2 4 11:11 11
13 Podbeskidzie 10 1 8 1 13:14 11
14 Unia Skierniewice 9 3 1 5 10:15 10
15 Odra Opole 9 2 3 4 7:9 9
16 Polonia Bytom 9 1 6 2 14:17 9
17 Stal Mielec 9 2 3 4 14:23 9
18 Puszcza 8 2 0 6 8:12 6
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)