Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oeste Brasil vs Toledo

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Breno
90'
Samir
90'
Samir

AI Match Summary

Toledo in this Paranaense 3 2024 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Oeste Brasil
30%
Draws
31%
Toledo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oeste Brasil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Toledo have won more games recently than Oeste Brasil.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Oeste Brasil taking it.
  • Toledo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Toledo, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Toledo have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Oeste Brasil Clean Sheet 68%
Toledo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oeste Brasil Toledo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.33 1
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2024 Paranaense 3
Toledo vs Oeste Brasil
2:0
Oct 20, 2024 Paranaense 3
Oeste Brasil vs Toledo
0:1
Oct 13, 2024 Paranaense 3
Oeste Brasil vs Toledo
0:2
Aug 24, 2024 Paranaense 3
Toledo vs Oeste Brasil
2:1
Mar 21, 2021 Paranaense
Oeste Brasil vs Toledo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oeste Brasil Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Toledo Compare

Top Goalscorer Breno
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oeste Brasil 95 / 100
Toledo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oeste Brasil Toledo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oeste Brasil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oeste Brasil found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Toledo conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Oeste Brasil went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oeste Brasil VS Toledo
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Oeste Brasil

(Home)
12 Sept
Oeste Brasil
2 : 3
CA Cambe
06 Sept
CA Cambe
1 : 1
Oeste Brasil
23 Aug
Oeste Brasil
3 : 1
Uniao PR
16 Aug
Campo Mourao
1 : 1
Oeste Brasil
02 Aug
Uniao PR
3 : 2
Oeste Brasil
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Toledo

(Away)
10 May
Parana
6 : 1
Toledo
03 May
Toledo
0 : 2
Parana
25 Apr
Paranavai-PR
0 : 1
Toledo
19 Apr
Toledo
0 : 0
Rio Branco PR
10 Apr
Parana
2 : 0
Toledo
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Batel 6
Rolandia EC 0
Iraty 2
Arapongas 3
Hope Internacional 3
Vere FC 1
Oeste Brasil 0
Toledo 3
Semi-finals
Batel 4
Arapongas 3
Hope Internacional 1
Toledo 8
Final
Batel 2
Toledo 1