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OFK Napredak vs Polimlje

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Srpska Liga - West 2025/2026 game between OFK Napredak and Polimlje finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
OFK Napredak
20%
Draws
0%
Polimlje
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: OFK Napredak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Polimlje haven't matched OFK Napredak's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans OFK Napredak's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Srpska Liga - West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
OFK Napredak Clean Sheet 20%
Polimlje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OFK Napredak Polimlje
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 15 9
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.19 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Srpska Liga - West
OFK Napredak vs Polimlje
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 Srpska Liga - West
Polimlje vs OFK Napredak
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OFK Napredak 85 / 100
Polimlje 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OFK Napredak Polimlje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OFK Napredak Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Polimlje conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: Polimlje has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

OFK Napredak scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

OFK Napredak VS Polimlje
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 2.33
63% Over 1.5 83%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

OFK Napredak

(Home)
27 Sept
OFK Napredak
0 : 0
FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac
23 Sept
Djerdap Golubac
0 : 2
OFK Napredak
19 Sept
OFK Napredak
0 : 2
Sloboda
13 Sept
Jedinstvo Putevi
0 : 0
OFK Napredak
05 Sept
OFK Napredak
4 : 1
Vujan Prislonica
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Polimlje

(Away)
07 Jun
Zeleznicar Lajkovac
3 : 0
Polimlje
31 May
Polimlje
0 : 3
Buducnost Krusik
25 May
Sloboda
1 : 0
Polimlje
17 May
Polimlje
2 : 4
Jedinstvo Putevi
09 May
Takovo
2 : 0
Polimlje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metalac 30 20 8 2 52:17 68
2 Real Podunavci 30 13 10 7 37:29 49
3 Radnicki Valjevo 30 13 5 12 43:38 44
4 Zeleznicar Lajkovac 30 11 10 9 42:30 43
5 Omladinac Zablace 30 10 12 8 36:30 42
6 FK Zlatibor Cajetina 30 11 8 11 29:33 41
7 Sloboda 30 9 14 7 33:24 41
8 Buducnost Krusik 30 10 10 10 34:33 40
9 Jedinstvo Putevi 30 11 6 13 35:39 39
10 FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac 30 9 12 9 29:28 39
11 OFK Napredak 30 8 14 8 36:33 38
12 Takovo 30 9 10 11 23:29 37
13 Sloga Pozega 30 9 9 12 29:33 36
14 Mladi Radnik Radinac 30 9 7 14 31:52 34
15 Josanica 30 6 10 14 30:45 28
16 Polimlje 30 5 9 16 24:50 24
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