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Ogden vs BYU Cougars

USA USA

USL Premier Development League 2009
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AI Match Summary

The USL Premier Development League 2009 game between Ogden and BYU Cougars finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BYU Cougars.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ogden
20%
Draws
40%
BYU Cougars
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Ogden haven't matched BYU Cougars's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ogden a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Ogden Clean Sheet 20%
BYU Cougars Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ogden BYU Cougars
Matches Played 37 48
Wins 9 14
Draws 7 12
Losses 21 22
Goals Scored 1.46 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2012 USL League Two
BYU Cougars vs Ogden
3:1
Jun 10, 2012 USL League Two
Ogden vs BYU Cougars
3:2
Jul 17, 2011 USL League Two
Ogden vs BYU Cougars
2:1
Jul 3, 2011 USL League Two
BYU Cougars vs Ogden
1:1
May 29, 2011 USL League Two
Ogden vs BYU Cougars
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ogden 58 / 100
BYU Cougars 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ogden BYU Cougars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ogden Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ogden found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (37 games).

BYU Cougars's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 48 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

BYU Cougars lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS BYU Cougars
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ogden

(Home)
09 Jul
Tucson
0 : 0
Ogden
05 Jul
BYU Cougars
3 : 1
Ogden
01 Jul
Fresno FC 2
2 : 1
Ogden
30 Jun
La Laguna
3 : 1
Ogden
24 Jun
Ogden
2 : 4
Ventura
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BYU Cougars

(Away)
13 Jul
BYU Cougars
1 : 4
Tucson
12 Jul
BYU Cougars
1 : 2
Tucson
08 Jul
Boulder County United
4 : 1
BYU Cougars
06 Jul
Colorado Rapids 2
3 : 1
BYU Cougars
02 Jul
BYU Cougars
2 : 2
Colorado Rapids 2
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