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Ogre United vs Grobina

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Ogres pilsētas ģimnāzija, Ogre
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Match Events

2'
Matyushenko I.
5'
Sub
Mashchenko V. In: Johnson K.
Out: Mashchenko V.
20'
Rupeiks K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Virsliga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ogre United
30%
Draws
39%
Grobina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grobina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Ogre United have won more games recently than Grobina.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ogre United Clean Sheet 10%
Grobina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ogre United Grobina
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 4
Draws 5 11
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 1.13 0.73
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 Virsliga
Grobina vs Ogre United
2:2
May 25, 2026 Virsliga
Ogre United vs Grobina
1:1
Apr 13, 2026 Virsliga
Ogre United vs Grobina
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ogre United Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnson K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Grobina Compare

Top Goalscorer Baravykas R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ogre United 30 / 100
Grobina 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ogre United Grobina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grobina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Ogre United found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ogre United remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ogre United VS Grobina
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ogre United

(Home)
20 Sept
Ogre United
1 : 0
Super Nova
16 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Ogre United
11 Sept
Ogre United
2 : 2
FK Liepaja
05 Sept
Tukums 2000
2 : 1
Ogre United
30 Aug
Ogre United
0 : 3
RFS
Page 1 of 6

Grobina

(Away)
20 Sept
Tukums 2000
1 : 1
Grobina
12 Sept
Grobina
0 : 0
Jelgava
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
29 Aug
Grobina
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
21 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 1
Grobina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 30 23 5 2 71:22 74
2 Riga FC 31 22 7 2 86:30 73
3 FK Auda Riga 31 18 7 6 49:30 61
4 FK Liepaja 31 12 7 12 41:43 43
5 BFC Daugavpils 31 10 9 12 35:35 39
6 Super Nova 30 10 5 15 29:40 35
7 Jelgava 31 8 8 15 32:49 32
8 Grobina 31 5 11 15 21:52 26
9 Tukums 2000 31 5 9 17 44:61 24
10 Ogre United 31 4 6 21 30:76 18
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 1. Liga 2027 (Main)