Sport Picks

Latvia

Virsliga Ogres pilsētas ģimnāzija

Ogre United

1 - 1

Grobina

Our Tip

Match Events

Matyushenko I.

Sub

Mashchenko V. In: Johnson K.

Out: Mashchenko V.

20'

Rupeiks K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Virsliga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Ogre United

28%

Draws

50%

Grobina

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Grobina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Grobina have won more games recently than Ogre United.
Model gives Grobina a 50% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%

Ogre United Clean Sheet 12%

Grobina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ogre United	Grobina
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	6	7
Draws	5	10
Losses	19	12
Goals Scored	1	0.75
Goals Conceded	2.75	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.75	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Virsliga

Ogre United vs Grobina

Possession: 59% - 56% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Apr 13, 2026 Virsliga

Ogre United vs Grobina

Possession: 58% - 46% Cards: 4 - 0

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ogre United Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnson K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Grobina Compare

Top Goalscorer Baravykas R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ogre United 22 / 100

Grobina 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ogre United Grobina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRO Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ogre United's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Grobina conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ogre United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ogre United VS Grobina

1 Goals Scored 0.75

2.75 Goals Conceded 1.25

100% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 25%

63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	RFS	22	18	2	2	54:16	56
2	Riga FC	22	17	4	1	65:19	55
3	FK Auda Riga	22	12	4	6	37:26	40
4	FK Liepaja	22	8	4	10	28:34	28
5	BFC Daugavpils	22	7	6	9	25:29	27
6	Jelgava	22	6	7	9	24:38	25
7	Super Nova	22	7	3	12	23:35	24
8	Grobina	22	4	8	10	15:33	20
9	Tukums 2000	22	3	8	11	37:44	17
10	Ogre United	22	3	4	15	21:55	13