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Oguzsport vs Falesti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1
Fri, Nov 6, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Oguzsport host Falesti in the Liga 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. Falesti have shipped 2.23 goals a game lately, while Oguzsport have conceded 1.37 and scored 1.23. Past meetings favor Oguzsport slightly — 1-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 19, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.13) point toward Oguzsport. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Oguzsport
20%
Draws
17%
Falesti
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Oguzsport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Oguzsport come out ahead of Falesti on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Oguzsport's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Oguzsport Clean Sheet 20%
Falesti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oguzsport Falesti
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 9
Draws 9 3
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.23 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Liga 1
Falesti vs Oguzsport
0:2
Aug 14, 2026 Liga 1
Oguzsport vs Falesti
0:0
Apr 24, 2026 Liga 1
Oguzsport vs Falesti
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oguzsport 85 / 100
Falesti 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oguzsport Falesti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oguzsport Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Falesti's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Oguzsport has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Oguzsport scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Falesti lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oguzsport VS Falesti
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Oguzsport

(Home)
09 Oct
Oguzsport
2 : 2
Stauceni
19 Sept
Falesti
0 : 2
Oguzsport
11 Sept
Oguzsport
2 : 1
National Ialoveni
04 Sept
Oguzsport
1 : 1
Victoria
01 Sept
Oguzsport
2 : 1
Vulturii Cutezatori
Page 1 of 6

Falesti

(Away)
10 Oct
Falesti
3 : 1
National Ialoveni
19 Sept
Falesti
0 : 2
Oguzsport
12 Sept
Victoria
2 : 1
Falesti
01 Sept
Victoria
5 : 3
Falesti
29 Aug
Falesti
1 : 2
Stauceni
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vulturii Cutezatori 9 7 1 1 29:14 22
2 Iskra Ribnita 9 6 0 3 22:9 18
3 FCM Ungheni 9 4 2 3 24:18 14
4 Zimbru Chisinau 2 9 3 1 5 16:21 10
5 Univer Comrat 9 2 3 4 17:19 9
6 Sparta Selemet 9 1 1 7 11:38 4
Promotion - Super Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oguzsport 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
2 Stauceni 7 3 2 2 12:9 11
3 Falesti 7 3 1 3 7:7 10
4 National Ialoveni 7 2 1 4 6:9 7
5 Victoria 7 2 1 4 7:12 7
Promotion - Super Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 (Relegation Group)