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Oguzsport vs FCM Ungheni

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Oguzsport play FCM Ungheni in the Liga 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Oguzsport averaged 1.19 goals scored and 1.85 conceded. FCM Ungheni averaged 2.42 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Oguzsport won 0, FCM Ungheni won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 21, 2026 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Oguzsport and 2.19 for FCM Ungheni. This points to a FCM Ungheni double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Oguzsport
20%
Draws
55%
FCM Ungheni
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FCM Ungheni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Oguzsport picked up more points recently compared to FCM Ungheni.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 2.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Oguzsport Clean Sheet 10%
FCM Ungheni Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oguzsport FCM Ungheni
Matches Played 26 31
Wins 5 16
Draws 7 3
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.19 2.42
Goals Conceded 1.85 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Liga 1
Oguzsport vs FCM Ungheni
2:4
Oct 24, 2025 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Oguzsport
3:0
Sep 12, 2025 Liga 1
Oguzsport vs FCM Ungheni
2:2
Aug 2, 2025 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Oguzsport
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oguzsport 25 / 100
FCM Ungheni 52 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oguzsport FCM Ungheni

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCM Ungheni Win (2)
Secondary Pick FCM Ungheni & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Oguzsport attacking → ← attacking FCM Ungheni

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oguzsport scored in 81% of their last 26 games.

FCM Ungheni let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Oguzsport went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FCM Ungheni lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 51
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 3.13
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FCM Ungheni750224:1315
2Falesti741212:813
3Univer Comrat732211:1211
4Oguzsport72327:89
5Zimbru Chisinau 2730411:109
6Victoria722310:158
7Olimp Comrat722312:158
8Sheriff Tiraspol 271246:125