Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oguzsport vs FCM Ungheni

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1 2025/2026
Oguzsport Logo

Oguzsport

2 - 4
FT
FCM Ungheni Logo

FCM Ungheni

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 2025/2026 game between Oguzsport and FCM Ungheni finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FCM Ungheni.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Oguzsport
20%
Draws
40%
FCM Ungheni
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • FCM Ungheni carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FCM Ungheni a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FCM Ungheni here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Oguzsport Clean Sheet 10%
FCM Ungheni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oguzsport FCM Ungheni
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 10 17
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.22 2.71
Goals Conceded 1.44 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Liga 1
Oguzsport vs FCM Ungheni
2:4
Oct 24, 2025 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Oguzsport
3:0
Sep 12, 2025 Liga 1
Oguzsport vs FCM Ungheni
2:2
Aug 2, 2025 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Oguzsport
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oguzsport 10 / 100
FCM Ungheni 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oguzsport FCM Ungheni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCM Ungheni Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FCM Ungheni conceded in 88% of 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Oguzsport scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Oguzsport has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Oguzsport VS FCM Ungheni
1.25 Goals Scored 3.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Oguzsport

(Home)
19 Sept
Falesti
0 : 2
Oguzsport
11 Sept
Oguzsport
2 : 1
National Ialoveni
04 Sept
Oguzsport
1 : 1
Victoria
01 Sept
Oguzsport
2 : 1
Vulturii Cutezatori
22 Aug
Stauceni
1 : 0
Oguzsport
Page 1 of 7

FCM Ungheni

(Away)
18 Sept
Univer Comrat
1 : 1
FCM Ungheni
12 Sept
FCM Ungheni
5 : 2
Sparta Selemet
05 Sept
Vulturii Cutezatori
3 : 4
FCM Ungheni
02 Sept
FCM Ungheni
9 : 0
Olimp Comrat
28 Aug
FCM Ungheni
2 : 3
Iskra Ribnita
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FCM Ungheni 7 5 0 2 24:13 15
2 Falesti 7 4 1 2 12:8 13
3 Univer Comrat 7 3 2 2 11:12 11
4 Oguzsport 7 2 3 2 7:8 9
5 Zimbru Chisinau 2 7 3 0 4 11:10 9
6 Victoria 7 2 2 3 10:15 8
7 Olimp Comrat 7 2 2 3 12:15 8
8 Sheriff Tiraspol 2 7 1 2 4 6:12 5
Promotion - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)