Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ohrid vs Novaci

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ohrid in this 2. MFL matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ohrid.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Ohrid
15%
Draws
21%
Novaci
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ohrid

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ohrid have won more games recently than Novaci.
  • Model gives Ohrid a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 2. MFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ohrid here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Ohrid Clean Sheet 20%
Novaci Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ohrid Novaci
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 19 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2.45 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.76 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Macedonian Cup
Novaci vs Ohrid
1:0
Aug 15, 2026 2. MFL
Ohrid vs Novaci
2:1
Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Ohrid vs Novaci
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 2. MFL
Ohrid vs Novaci
3:0
Oct 11, 2025 2. MFL
Novaci vs Ohrid
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ohrid 85 / 100
Novaci 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ohrid Novaci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ohrid Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ohrid scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Ohrid remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Novaci has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ohrid VS Novaci
2.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ohrid

(Home)
09 Sept
Novaci
1 : 0
Ohrid
05 Sept
Teteks
0 : 3
Ohrid
30 Aug
Ohrid
5 : 1
Kozuf Gevgelija
15 Aug
Ohrid
2 : 1
Novaci
18 Jul
Ohrid
1 : 0
Novaci
Page 1 of 6

Novaci

(Away)
09 Sept
Novaci
1 : 0
Ohrid
05 Sept
Kamjani
1 : 0
Novaci
29 Aug
Osogovo
0 : 0
Novaci
22 Aug
Novaci
0 : 1
Belasica Strumica
15 Aug
Ohrid
2 : 1
Novaci
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brera Strumica 4 3 1 0 5:1 10
2 Ohrid 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
3 Pelister 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
4 Belasica Strumica 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
5 Detonit Plackovica 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
6 Kamjani 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
7 Rabotnicki 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
8 Teteks 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
9 Makedonija GP 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
10 Kozuf Gevgelija 4 1 1 2 5:10 4
11 Gorno Lisice 4 1 0 3 4:4 3
12 Osogovo 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
13 Novaci 4 0 1 3 1:4 1
14 Shkupi 4 0 0 4 1:11 0
Promotion - 1. MFL 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL (Relegation)