Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 4 2013/2014 game between Oiartzun and Alaves B finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alaves B
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Alaves B come out ahead of Oiartzun on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Oiartzun Clean Sheet 20%
Alaves B Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Oiartzun | Alaves B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 17 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 0.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Alaves B vs Oiartzun
2:0
Dec 6, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Oiartzun vs Alaves B
1:0
Mar 22, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Oiartzun vs Alaves B
1:1
Nov 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Alaves B vs Oiartzun
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Oiartzun 32 / 100
Alaves B 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Oiartzun Alaves B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Oiartzun went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Oiartzun scored in 50% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Alaves B conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Alaves B
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Oiartzun
(Home) 16 May
Oiartzun
3 : 2 Santutxu FC
09 May
Lagun Onak
1 : 0 Oiartzun
01 May
Oiartzun
0 : 0 Portugalete
25 Apr
Alaves B
2 : 0 Oiartzun
18 Apr
Oiartzun
1 : 1 Balmaseda
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16 May
Oiartzun
3 : 2 Santutxu FC
01 May
Oiartzun
0 : 0 Portugalete
18 Apr
Oiartzun
1 : 1 Balmaseda
02 Apr
Oiartzun
0 : 2 Real Sociedad C
22 Mar
Oiartzun
1 : 1 Gernika Club
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Alaves B
(Away) 20 Sept
Alaves B
3 : 1 Real Oviedo B
13 Sept
Llanera
1 : 2 Alaves B
05 Sept
Alaves B
0 : 2 Coruxo FC
22 Aug
Alaves B
1 : 2 Amorebieta
21 Aug
Naxara
0 : 1 Alaves B
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13 Sept
Llanera
1 : 2 Alaves B
21 Aug
Naxara
0 : 1 Alaves B
10 May
Jaen
1 : 2 Alaves B
03 May
Gernika Club
0 : 0 Alaves B
26 Apr
Tudelano
1 : 2 Alaves B
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leioa | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 62:34 | 81 |
| 2 | Portugalete | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 67:38 | 70 |
| 3 | Arenas Getxo | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 67:39 | 69 |
| 4 | Basconia | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 77:49 | 67 |
| 5 | Alaves B | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 54:33 | 62 |
| 6 | Zalla UC | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 55:45 | 60 |
| 7 | Gernika Club | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 43:29 | 59 |
| 8 | Zamudio | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:48 | 56 |
| 9 | Balmaseda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 45:40 | 55 |
| 10 | Beasain | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 45:59 | 52 |
| 11 | Santutxu FC | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 37:40 | 48 |
| 12 | SCD Durango | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 52:57 | 48 |
| 13 | Pasaia | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 39:48 | 46 |
| 14 | Lagun Onak | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 34:46 | 45 |
| 15 | Oiartzun | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 40:61 | 44 |
| 16 | Amurrio Club | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 31:45 | 42 |
| 17 | Bermeo | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 37:46 | 39 |
| 18 | Elgoibar | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 26:48 | 35 |
| 19 | Sodupe | 38 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 36:65 | 25 |
| 20 | Retuerto Sport | 38 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 21:62 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
