Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 4 2013/2014 game between Oiartzun and Balmaseda finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Balmaseda
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Balmaseda carry the better recent record into this one.
- 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Oiartzun Clean Sheet 20%
Balmaseda Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Oiartzun | Balmaseda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 5 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 14 |
| Losses | 16 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Oiartzun vs Balmaseda
1:1
Nov 29, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs Oiartzun
1:1
Apr 12, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Oiartzun vs Balmaseda
0:0
Nov 23, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs Oiartzun
5:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Oiartzun 36 / 100
Balmaseda 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Oiartzun Balmaseda
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Balmaseda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Balmaseda has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.
H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.
Oiartzun went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Oiartzun scored in 50% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Balmaseda
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Oiartzun
(Home) 16 May
Oiartzun
3 : 2 Santutxu FC
09 May
Lagun Onak
1 : 0 Oiartzun
01 May
Oiartzun
0 : 0 Portugalete
25 Apr
Alaves B
2 : 0 Oiartzun
18 Apr
Oiartzun
1 : 1 Balmaseda
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16 May
Oiartzun
3 : 2 Santutxu FC
01 May
Oiartzun
0 : 0 Portugalete
18 Apr
Oiartzun
1 : 1 Balmaseda
02 Apr
Oiartzun
0 : 2 Real Sociedad C
22 Mar
Oiartzun
1 : 1 Gernika Club
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Balmaseda
(Away) 12 Jun
CD Ariznabarra
2 : 3 Balmaseda
05 Jun
Balmaseda
2 : 0 Lagun Onak
29 May
Santurtzi
1 : 2 Balmaseda
23 May
Balmaseda
0 : 0 SCD Durango
19 May
Balmaseda
2 : 2 Santurtzi
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12 Jun
CD Ariznabarra
2 : 3 Balmaseda
29 May
Santurtzi
1 : 2 Balmaseda
15 May
Sodupe
3 : 0 Balmaseda
01 May
Lagun Onak
2 : 1 Balmaseda
17 Apr
SCD Durango
1 : 1 Balmaseda
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leioa | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 62:34 | 81 |
| 2 | Portugalete | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 67:38 | 70 |
| 3 | Arenas Getxo | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 67:39 | 69 |
| 4 | Basconia | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 77:49 | 67 |
| 5 | Alaves B | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 54:33 | 62 |
| 6 | Zalla UC | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 55:45 | 60 |
| 7 | Gernika Club | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 43:29 | 59 |
| 8 | Zamudio | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:48 | 56 |
| 9 | Balmaseda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 45:40 | 55 |
| 10 | Beasain | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 45:59 | 52 |
| 11 | Santutxu FC | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 37:40 | 48 |
| 12 | SCD Durango | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 52:57 | 48 |
| 13 | Pasaia | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 39:48 | 46 |
| 14 | Lagun Onak | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 34:46 | 45 |
| 15 | Oiartzun | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 40:61 | 44 |
| 16 | Amurrio Club | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 31:45 | 42 |
| 17 | Bermeo | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 37:46 | 39 |
| 18 | Elgoibar | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 26:48 | 35 |
| 19 | Sodupe | 38 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 36:65 | 25 |
| 20 | Retuerto Sport | 38 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 21:62 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
