Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oita Trinita vs Montedio Yamagata

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Resonac Dome Oita
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Takahashi J.
53' Event
Kim Hyun-woo
Assist: Yoshida M.
60'
Sub
Kokubu S. In: Enomoto K.
Out: Kokubu S.

AI Match Summary

Oita Trinita host Montedio Yamagata in the J2/J3 League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Oita Trinita have averaged 0.75 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Montedio Yamagata's 1 scored and 1.63 conceded. Head-to-head, Oita Trinita have won 1 to Montedio Yamagata's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 7, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.00, favoring Montedio Yamagata. Montedio Yamagata in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Oita Trinita
28%
Draws
22%
Montedio Yamagata
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Oita Trinita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Montedio Yamagata has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Oita Trinita.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Oita Trinita.
  • Cup tournament structure in J2/J3 League increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Oita Trinita Clean Sheet 68%
Montedio Yamagata Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oita Trinita Montedio Yamagata
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 3 3
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 J2/J3 League
Oita Trinita vs Montedio Yamagata
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 J2 League
Oita Trinita vs Montedio Yamagata
1:2
May 6, 2025 J2 League
Montedio Yamagata vs Oita Trinita
3:0
Sep 7, 2024 J2 League
Oita Trinita vs Montedio Yamagata
0:3
Jun 9, 2024 J2 League
Montedio Yamagata vs Oita Trinita
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oita Trinita Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Hyun-woo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Montedio Yamagata Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oita Trinita 59 / 100
Montedio Yamagata 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oita Trinita Montedio Yamagata

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OIT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oita Trinita scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Montedio Yamagata let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Oita Trinita went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Montedio Yamagata lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oita Trinita VS Montedio Yamagata
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Omiya Ardija2
Kochi United1
Fujieda MYFC1
Ehime0
Iwata2
FC Osaka3
Sagan Tosu1
Shonan Bellmare0
Albirex Niigata1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo0
Tochigi SC2
Giravanz Kitakyushu1
Kanazawa4
Thespakusatsu Gunma1
Oita Trinita1
Montedio Yamagata0
Vanraure1
Imabari2