Sport Picks
Oita Trinita vs Iwaki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J2 League Resonac Dome Oita, Oita 
Match Events
15'
15'
Utsumoto S.
Assist: Miyakawa A.
18'
18'
Yomoda S.
29'
29'
Yamanaka A.
Assist: Yamaguchi D.
AI Match Summary
The J2 League game between Oita Trinita and Iwaki finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oita Trinita.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
30%
28%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oita Trinita
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Iwaki come out ahead of Oita Trinita on wins alone.
- Oita Trinita are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Oita Trinita Clean Sheet 68%
Iwaki Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Oita Trinita | Iwaki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 0 |
| Losses | 16 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 26, 2026 Emperors Cup
Iwaki vs Oita Trinita
2:0
Aug 22, 2026 J2 League
Oita Trinita vs Iwaki
4:1
Aug 23, 2025 J2 League
Iwaki vs Oita Trinita
4:0
Feb 23, 2025 J2 League
Oita Trinita vs Iwaki
0:0
Jul 6, 2024 J2 League
Iwaki vs Oita Trinita
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Oita Trinita Compare
Top Goalscorer Nishimura Y.
2 Goals Assists Leader Utsumoto S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Iwaki Compare
Top Goalscorer Yamanaka A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Oita Trinita 95 / 100
Iwaki 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Oita Trinita Iwaki
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Oita Trinita Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Oita Trinita stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Oita Trinita found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
Iwaki let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Oita Trinita VS Iwaki
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Oita Trinita
(Home) 10 Oct
Yokohama FC
1 : 2 Oita Trinita
03 Oct
Oita Trinita
2 : 1 Montedio Yamagata
26 Sept
Oita Trinita
1 : 1 Fujieda MYFC
19 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 1 Oita Trinita
12 Sept
Omiya Ardija
0 : 0 Oita Trinita
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Oita Trinita
2 : 1 Montedio Yamagata
26 Sept
Oita Trinita
1 : 1 Fujieda MYFC
06 Sept
Oita Trinita
1 : 1 Imabari
22 Aug
Oita Trinita
4 : 1 Iwaki
08 Aug
Oita Trinita
0 : 1 Shonan Bellmare
Page 1 of 3
Iwaki
(Away) 07 Oct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4 : 0 Iwaki
04 Oct
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
2 : 1 Iwaki
26 Sept
Iwaki
0 : 2 Vegalta Sendai
19 Sept
Sagan Tosu
1 : 3 Iwaki
12 Sept
Iwaki
2 : 0 Yokohama FC
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4 : 0 Iwaki
04 Oct
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
2 : 1 Iwaki
19 Sept
Sagan Tosu
1 : 3 Iwaki
05 Sept
Tokushima
1 : 0 Iwaki
02 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 0 Iwaki
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Omiya Ardija | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 20:9 | 20 |
| 2 | Vegalta Sendai | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Albirex Niigata | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13:13 | 19 |
| 4 | Toyama | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | 17 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 16 |
| 7 | Oita Trinita | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 8 | Fujieda MYFC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 9 | Blaublitz | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Iwata | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:13 | 13 |
| 11 | Tokushima | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | 13 |
| 12 | Montedio Yamagata | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 13 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 14 | Sagan Tosu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 15 | Tochigi City | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 16:17 | 10 |
| 16 | Imabari | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:19 | 10 |
| 17 | Kofu | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | 10 |
| 18 | Vanraure | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6:17 | 10 |
| 19 | Iwaki | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 20 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 8 |
Promotion - J1 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J2 League (Promotion)
Relegation - J3 League 2027/2028 (Main)
