Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League Resonac Dome Oita, Oita

Oita Trinita

0 - 1

Kumamoto

Our Tip

Match Events

Kamimura S.

46'

Sub

Shige T. In: Yoshida M.

Out: Shige T.

46'

Sub

Kimoto T. In: Nakagawa H.

Out: Kimoto T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between Oita Trinita and Kumamoto finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kumamoto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Oita Trinita

28%

Draws

22%

Kumamoto

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Oita Trinita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Oita Trinita come out ahead of Kumamoto on wins alone.
50% — that's where the model lands on Oita Trinita taking it.
Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%

Oita Trinita Clean Sheet 68%

Kumamoto Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Oita Trinita	Kumamoto
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	12	11
Draws	3	4
Losses	16	15
Goals Scored	0.75	1.25
Goals Conceded	1	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 J2/J3 League

Oita Trinita vs Kumamoto

0:1

Mar 1, 2026 J2/J3 League

Kumamoto vs Oita Trinita

3:1

Oct 26, 2025 J2 League

Kumamoto vs Oita Trinita

0:1

May 3, 2025 J2 League

Oita Trinita vs Kumamoto

1:0

Aug 11, 2024 J2 League

Oita Trinita vs Kumamoto

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oita Trinita Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Kumamoto Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamimura S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oita Trinita 59 / 100

Kumamoto 23 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Oita Trinita Kumamoto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OIT Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Oita Trinita scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Kumamoto conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Kumamoto's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Oita Trinita VS Kumamoto

0.75 Goals Scored 1.25

1 Goals Conceded 0.88

38% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Oita Trinita

(Home)

07 Jun

Oita Trinita

1 : 0

Montedio Yamagata

30 May

Nara Club

4 : 3

Oita Trinita

24 May

Gainare Tottori

1 : 0

Oita Trinita

17 May

Oita Trinita

1 : 2

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

10 May

Oita Trinita

0 : 1

Sagan Tosu

Page 1 of 7

Kumamoto

(Away)

19 Jul

Yokohama F. Marinos

3 : 1

Kumamoto

06 Jun

SC Sagamihara

3 : 0

Kumamoto

30 May

Ehime

0 : 1

Kumamoto

23 May

Renofa Yamaguchi

1 : 2

Kumamoto

17 May

Kagoshima United

2 : 1

Kumamoto

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

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League Standings (Group 2)

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Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

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League Standings (Group 3)

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Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

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League Standings (Group 4)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15

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