Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oita Trinita vs Montedio Yamagata

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Resonac Dome Oita, Oita
Oita Trinita Logo

Oita Trinita

1 - 0
FT
Montedio Yamagata Logo

Montedio Yamagata

Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Takahashi J.
53' Event
Kim Hyun-woo
Assist: Yoshida M.
60'
Sub
Kokubu S. In: Enomoto K.
Out: Kokubu S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Oita Trinita in this J2/J3 League tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Oita Trinita
39%
Draws
31%
Montedio Yamagata
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Oita Trinita haven't matched Montedio Yamagata's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Montedio Yamagata arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Montedio Yamagata, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Oita Trinita Clean Sheet 68%
Montedio Yamagata Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oita Trinita Montedio Yamagata
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 15
Draws 3 3
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 J2/J3 League
Oita Trinita vs Montedio Yamagata
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 J2 League
Oita Trinita vs Montedio Yamagata
1:2
May 6, 2025 J2 League
Montedio Yamagata vs Oita Trinita
3:0
Sep 7, 2024 J2 League
Oita Trinita vs Montedio Yamagata
0:3
Jun 9, 2024 J2 League
Montedio Yamagata vs Oita Trinita
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oita Trinita Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Hyun-woo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Montedio Yamagata Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oita Trinita 41 / 100
Montedio Yamagata 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oita Trinita Montedio Yamagata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OIT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montedio Yamagata let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Oita Trinita scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Difficult form: Montedio Yamagata registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oita Trinita VS Montedio Yamagata
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Oita Trinita

(Home)
07 Jun
Oita Trinita
1 : 0
Montedio Yamagata
30 May
Nara Club
4 : 3
Oita Trinita
24 May
Gainare Tottori
1 : 0
Oita Trinita
17 May
Oita Trinita
1 : 2
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
10 May
Oita Trinita
0 : 1
Sagan Tosu
Page 1 of 7

Montedio Yamagata

(Away)
25 Jul
Albirex Niigata
3 : 4
Montedio Yamagata
07 Jun
Oita Trinita
1 : 0
Montedio Yamagata
31 May
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2
Matsumoto Yamaga
24 May
Montedio Yamagata
3 : 1
Shonan Bellmare
16 May
Tochigi City
3 : 0
Montedio Yamagata
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Omiya Ardija2
Kochi United1
Fujieda MYFC1
Ehime0
Iwata2
FC Osaka3
Sagan Tosu1
Shonan Bellmare0
Albirex Niigata1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo0
Tochigi SC2
Giravanz Kitakyushu1
Kanazawa4
Thespakusatsu Gunma1
Oita Trinita1
Montedio Yamagata0
Vanraure1
Imabari2