Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League Resonac Dome Oita

Oita Trinita

1 - 2

Renofa Yamaguchi

Our Tip

Match Events

Yoshioka K.

31'

Tadokoro R.

Own Goal

34'

Fujioka K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The J2/J3 League game between Oita Trinita and Renofa Yamaguchi finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Renofa Yamaguchi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Oita Trinita

39%

Draws

30%

Renofa Yamaguchi

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Oita Trinita haven't matched Renofa Yamaguchi's recent run of results.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%

Oita Trinita Clean Sheet 16%

Renofa Yamaguchi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Oita Trinita	Renofa Yamaguchi
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	12	15
Draws	3	2
Losses	16	13
Goals Scored	0.75	1.88
Goals Conceded	1	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 J2/J3 League

Oita Trinita vs Renofa Yamaguchi

Possession: 56% - 44% Cards: 0 - 1

1:2

Mar 29, 2026 J2/J3 League

Renofa Yamaguchi vs Oita Trinita

Possession: 49% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

3:1

Sep 20, 2025 J2 League

Oita Trinita vs Renofa Yamaguchi

Possession: 53% - 57% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Mar 26, 2025 J.League Cup

Oita Trinita vs Renofa Yamaguchi

Possession: 40% - 45% Cards: 1 - 1

2:3

Mar 16, 2025 J2 League

Renofa Yamaguchi vs Oita Trinita

Possession: 46% - 56% Cards: 2 - 0

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oita Trinita Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Renofa Yamaguchi Compare

Top Goalscorer Fujioka K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Mineda Y.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oita Trinita 31 / 100

Renofa Yamaguchi 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Oita Trinita Renofa Yamaguchi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REN Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Renofa Yamaguchi has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Oita Trinita scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Renofa Yamaguchi's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Oita Trinita VS Renofa Yamaguchi

0.75 Goals Scored 1.88

1 Goals Conceded 1.5

38% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 75%

0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15