Sport Picks

Stadium Background

OJC Rosmalen vs TOGB

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
van Beekveld Q.
73' Event
Eijgenraam F.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Boulamhayan O.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2024/2025 game between OJC Rosmalen and TOGB finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward OJC Rosmalen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
OJC Rosmalen
20%
Draws
16%
TOGB
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: OJC Rosmalen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • TOGB carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
OJC Rosmalen Clean Sheet 18%
TOGB Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OJC Rosmalen TOGB
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.4 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2025 Derde Divisie
OJC Rosmalen vs TOGB
2:1
Nov 30, 2024 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs OJC Rosmalen
3:2
Jan 13, 2024 Derde Divisie
OJC Rosmalen vs TOGB
1:2
Aug 19, 2023 Derde Divisie
TOGB vs OJC Rosmalen
0:1
Feb 26, 2023 Derde Divisie
OJC Rosmalen vs TOGB
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

OJC Rosmalen Compare

Top Goalscorer van Beekveld Q.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

TOGB Compare

Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OJC Rosmalen 31 / 100
TOGB 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OJC Rosmalen TOGB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OJC Rosmalen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TOGB's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

OJC Rosmalen's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

TOGB's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS TOGB
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

OJC Rosmalen

(Home)
01 Jun
OJC Rosmalen
1 : 2
Roosendaal
28 May
Roosendaal
3 : 2
OJC Rosmalen
24 May
OJC Rosmalen
1 : 1
VVSB
17 May
Kozakken Boys
5 : 1
OJC Rosmalen
10 May
OJC Rosmalen
2 : 1
TOGB
Page 1 of 6

TOGB

(Away)
30 Aug
RKSV UDI 19
2 : 1
TOGB
22 Aug
TOGB
1 : 3
SV Poortugaal
16 Aug
UNA
1 : 1
TOGB
08 Aug
Lisse
4 : 0
TOGB
11 Jul
Excelsior Maassluis
3 : 0
TOGB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IJsselmeervogels 34 26 4 4 98:35 82
2 Harkemase Boys 34 21 7 6 74:46 70
3 Sportlust 34 20 7 7 78:37 67
4 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 19 8 7 78:52 65
5 Sparta Nijkerk 34 16 10 8 68:50 58
6 USV Hercules 34 16 6 12 65:56 54
7 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 43:39 52
8 Genemuiden 34 13 9 12 52:44 48
9 Urk 34 15 2 17 56:67 47
10 Eemdijk 34 11 10 13 64:66 43
11 TEC 34 11 9 14 46:56 42
12 Rohda Raalte 34 11 7 16 63:68 40
13 HSC '21 34 12 4 18 50:66 40
14 Huizen 34 10 6 18 44:62 36
15 Excelsior 31 34 9 9 16 46:71 36
16 Ajax (Am) 34 9 8 17 48:64 35
17 DEM 34 8 6 20 43:85 30
18 HBC 34 1 7 26 40:92 10
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HSV Hoek 34 20 10 4 77:33 70
2 Kozakken Boys 34 19 7 8 72:29 64
3 Blauw Geel 34 19 7 8 73:45 64
4 VV Kloetinge 34 18 7 9 66:42 61
5 Gemert 34 17 7 10 57:50 58
6 Lisse 34 15 9 10 55:41 54
7 UNA 34 15 8 11 51:48 53
8 VVSB 34 15 6 13 61:61 51
9 SteDoCo 34 13 9 12 57:46 48
10 Meerssen 34 13 6 15 44:50 45
11 Rijnvogels 34 13 6 15 63:72 45
12 ASWH 34 12 6 16 59:73 42
13 TOGB 34 11 8 15 55:53 41
14 GOES 34 9 12 13 53:65 39
15 OJC Rosmalen 34 11 6 17 45:58 39
16 FC 's-Gravenzande 34 9 7 18 51:69 34
17 Smitshoek 34 6 7 21 53:94 25
18 HV & CV Quick 34 5 4 25 42:105 19
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)