Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Okayama vs Avispa Fukuoka

Japan Japan

J1 League 2026 City Light Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Tsujioka Y.
27' Event
Shirai K.
45'
Shiihashi K.

AI Match Summary

Okayama host Avispa Fukuoka in the J1 League 2026. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Okayama have averaged 1.75 scored and 0.88 conceded recently, against Avispa Fukuoka's 1.38 scored and 1.75 conceded. Head-to-head, Okayama have won 1 to Avispa Fukuoka's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.13, favoring Avispa Fukuoka. Avispa Fukuoka in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Okayama
6%
Draws
4%
Avispa Fukuoka
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Okayama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Avispa Fukuoka has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Okayama.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Okayama.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in J1 League 2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Okayama Clean Sheet 68%
Avispa Fukuoka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Okayama Avispa Fukuoka
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 J1 League
Okayama vs Avispa Fukuoka
2:0
Feb 8, 2026 J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka vs Okayama
2:1
Jun 15, 2025 J1 League
Okayama vs Avispa Fukuoka
0:1
Apr 25, 2025 J1 League
Avispa Fukuoka vs Okayama
1:1
Dec 2, 2020 J2 League
Okayama vs Avispa Fukuoka
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Okayama Compare

Top Goalscorer Shirai K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yamane T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Avispa Fukuoka Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Okayama 95 / 100
Avispa Fukuoka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Okayama Avispa Fukuoka

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OKA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Okayama scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Avispa Fukuoka let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Okayama went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Avispa Fukuoka lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Okayama VS Avispa Fukuoka
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima Antlers18150331:1145
2FC Tokyo18130532:1837
3Machida Zelvia18130528:2237
4Kawasaki Frontale18100826:2828
5Verdy18100822:2628
6Urawa Reds18701125:2225
7Yokohama F. Marinos18601228:3120
8Kashiwa Reysol18701122:2420
9Mito18601223:3918
10Chiba18301518:3412
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe18110729:2535
2Cerezo Osaka18110730:2131
3Nagoya Grampus18100833:3131
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima18100831:2330
5Gamba Osaka18100831:2528
6Okayama18801026:2926
7Shimizu S-Pulse18801023:2524
8Kyoto18801022:2823
9V-Varen Nagasaki18701121:2921
10Avispa Fukuoka18701121:3121