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Okayama vs Vissel Kobe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J1 League City Light Stadium, Okayama
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
04:55 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Okayama host Vissel Kobe in the J1 League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Vissel Kobe have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while Okayama have conceded 1.48 and scored 1.45. Past meetings favor Vissel Kobe slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.44) point toward Vissel Kobe. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Okayama
15%
Draws
47%
Vissel Kobe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vissel Kobe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Vissel Kobe have won more games recently than Okayama.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Okayama Clean Sheet 16%
Vissel Kobe Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Okayama Vissel Kobe
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 20
Draws 2 2
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.45 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 J1 League
Vissel Kobe vs Okayama
0:3
Apr 5, 2026 J1 League
Okayama vs Vissel Kobe
1:4
Jul 20, 2025 J1 League
Okayama vs Vissel Kobe
1:2
May 3, 2025 J1 League
Vissel Kobe vs Okayama
2:0
Jul 3, 2013 J2 League
Okayama vs Vissel Kobe
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Okayama 36 / 100
Vissel Kobe 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Okayama Vissel Kobe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vissel Kobe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Okayama's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Vissel Kobe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Okayama went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Okayama VS Vissel Kobe
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Okayama

(Home)
29 Sept
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
1 : 2
Okayama
19 Sept
Okayama
1 : 2
Kyoto
13 Sept
Urawa Reds
1 : 2
Okayama
06 Sept
Okayama
3 : 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
02 Sept
Chiba
1 : 2
Okayama
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Vissel Kobe

(Away)
23 Sept
Vissel Kobe
1 : 0
Sagan Tosu
20 Sept
Gamba Osaka
0 : 1
Vissel Kobe
16 Sept
Port MTI FC
1 : 2
Vissel Kobe
11 Sept
Vissel Kobe
2 : 1
Kashima Antlers
06 Sept
Vissel Kobe
3 : 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 8 6 1 1 12:5 19
2 Kashiwa Reysol 8 6 0 2 17:12 18
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 8 5 2 1 20:6 17
4 Machida Zelvia 8 5 2 1 21:10 17
5 FC Tokyo 8 5 2 1 14:8 17
6 Yokohama F. Marinos 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
7 Kawasaki Frontale 8 3 4 1 16:12 13
8 Kashima Antlers 8 4 1 3 17:16 13
9 Okayama 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
10 Urawa Reds 8 4 0 4 16:18 12
11 Cerezo Osaka 8 3 2 3 7:12 11
12 Shimizu S-Pulse 8 3 1 4 6:8 10
13 Mito 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
14 Kyoto 8 2 2 4 11:15 8
15 V-Varen Nagasaki 8 2 2 4 10:15 8
16 Gamba Osaka 8 1 3 4 8:14 6
17 Nagoya Grampus 8 2 0 6 7:14 6
18 Avispa Fukuoka 8 1 1 6 9:12 4
19 Verdy 8 0 4 4 4:12 4
20 Chiba 8 1 1 6 7:18 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)