Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Okinawa vs Nagoya Grampus Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly 2025 Koganemori Park Athletics Stadium, Haebaru
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nagoya Grampus in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nagoya Grampus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Okinawa
15%
Draws
28%
Nagoya Grampus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Okinawa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nagoya Grampus lately — more wins on the board than Okinawa.
  • Model gives Okinawa a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Okinawa Clean Sheet 10%
Nagoya Grampus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Okinawa Nagoya Grampus
Matches Played 10 30
Wins 2 11
Draws 0 1
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.2 1.6
Goals Conceded 3.3 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2025 Club Friendly
Okinawa vs Nagoya Grampus
4:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Okinawa 40 / 100
Nagoya Grampus 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Okinawa Nagoya Grampus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nagoya Grampus has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 9.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Nagoya Grampus has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Okinawa's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 10 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Okinawa VS Nagoya Grampus
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Okinawa

(Home)
26 Aug
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4 : 1
Okinawa
19 Aug
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 2
Okinawa
16 Jan
Okinawa
1 : 6
Kyoto
11 Jun
Avispa Fukuoka
2 : 0
Okinawa
25 May
Okinawa
4 : 1
Verspah Oita
Page 1 of 2

Nagoya Grampus

(Away)
19 Sept
FC Tokyo
1 : 0
Nagoya Grampus
12 Sept
V-Varen Nagasaki
2 : 0
Nagoya Grampus
06 Sept
Nagoya Grampus
1 : 3
Machida Zelvia
02 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3 : 0
Nagoya Grampus
29 Aug
Nagoya Grampus
2 : 1
Okayama
Page 1 of 6