Sport Picks

Stadium Background

OKMK vs Obod Tashkent

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Professional Football League 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Juraev D.

AI Match Summary

OKMK in this Professional Football League 2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored OKMK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
OKMK
15%
Draws
0%
Obod Tashkent
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: OKMK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to OKMK lately — more wins on the board than Obod Tashkent.
  • Model gives OKMK a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Professional Football League 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and OKMK have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
OKMK Clean Sheet 20%
Obod Tashkent Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OKMK Obod Tashkent
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 2
Draws 7 3
Losses 9 25
Goals Scored 1.41 0.47
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2017 Super League
OKMK vs Obod Tashkent
1:0
Apr 14, 2017 Super League
Obod Tashkent vs OKMK
0:1
Nov 4, 2016 Super League
Obod Tashkent vs OKMK
2:0
Jun 20, 2016 Super League
OKMK vs Obod Tashkent
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

OKMK Compare

Top Goalscorer Juraev D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Obod Tashkent Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OKMK 42 / 100
Obod Tashkent 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OKMK Obod Tashkent

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Obod Tashkent let in goals in 96% of their last 23 matches.

Obod Tashkent lost 5 of their last 5 games.

OKMK scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

OKMK VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

OKMK

(Home)
20 Sept
Sogdiana
1 : 2
OKMK
16 Sept
OKMK
2 : 1
Xorazm Urganch
09 Sept
OKMK
1 : 3
Pakhtakor
03 Sept
OKMK
1 : 0
Xorazm Urganch
25 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 0
OKMK
Page 1 of 7

Obod Tashkent

(Away)
25 Nov
Pakhtakor
:
Obod Tashkent
19 Nov
Obod Tashkent
:
Shortan Guzor
16 Nov
Metallurg Bekabad
:
Obod Tashkent
04 Nov
Obod Tashkent
:
Mashal Muborak
26 Oct
Din. Samarkand
:
Obod Tashkent
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lok. Tashkent 30 22 4 4 67:20 70
2 Nasaf Qarshi 30 20 2 8 58:18 62
3 Pakhtakor 30 18 5 7 44:28 59
4 Bunyodkor 30 14 10 6 47:29 52
5 Navbahor Namangan 30 12 10 8 40:37 46
6 Buxoro 30 13 7 10 42:40 46
7 OKMK 30 12 8 10 31:32 44
8 Mashal Muborak 30 12 8 10 37:31 44
9 Kokand 1912 30 11 8 11 42:47 41
10 Metallurg Bekabad 30 12 4 14 40:39 40
11 Qizilqum 30 9 10 11 31:40 37
12 Din. Samarkand 30 8 8 14 21:35 32
13 Sogdiana 30 8 7 15 33:51 31
14 Shortan Guzor 30 8 3 19 28:52 27
15 Neftchi Fargona 30 6 9 15 23:48 27
16 Obod Tashkent 30 2 3 25 15:52 9
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2018 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2018 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2018 (Qualification)