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Okzhetpes vs FC Astana

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Okzhetpes Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Lototskyi B.
31'
Kasym A.
45' Event
Lototskyi B.
Assist: Sovpel V.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Okzhetpes and FC Astana finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Okzhetpes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Okzhetpes
17%
Draws
70%
FC Astana
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: FC Astana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Astana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on FC Astana taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FC Astana have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Okzhetpes Clean Sheet 14%
FC Astana Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Okzhetpes FC Astana
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 2 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs FC Astana
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs FC Astana
1:2
Jun 15, 2025 Premier League
FC Astana vs Okzhetpes
5:2
Apr 13, 2025 Kazakhstan Cup
Okzhetpes vs FC Astana
1:2
Sep 27, 2023 Premier League
FC Astana vs Okzhetpes
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Okzhetpes Compare

Top Goalscorer Lototskyi B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

FC Astana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Okzhetpes 15 / 100
FC Astana 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Okzhetpes FC Astana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Okzhetpes found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

FC Astana let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Okzhetpes remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Okzhetpes VS FC Astana
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ordabasy17124130:1240
2Kairat Almaty18116134:1239
3FC Astana1785425:1929
4Okzhetpes1776422:2427
5Yelimay Semey1675424:1926
6Ulytau1775514:1526
7Aktobe1774622:1825
8Zhenis1756614:1921
9Atyrau1639412:1318
10Zhetysu Taldykorgan1746721:2518
11Tobol1753919:2518
12Kaisar Kyzylorda1839613:2018
13Kaspij Aktau17521015:2217
14Altai1737712:1816
15Kyzylzhar17431017:2515
16Ertis Pavlodar1718814:2211