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Okzhetpes vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Okzhetpes Stadium, Kokshetau
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Borodin D.
(Penalty)
31'
Ensebaev M.
34'
Abdumannonov B.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Okzhetpes and Zhetysu Taldykorgan finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Okzhetpes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Okzhetpes
15%
Draws
17%
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Okzhetpes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Okzhetpes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Okzhetpes are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Okzhetpes here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Okzhetpes Clean Sheet 20%
Zhetysu Taldykorgan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Okzhetpes Zhetysu Taldykorgan
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.64 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan
2:0
Jun 13, 2026 Premier League
Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs Okzhetpes
2:2
Aug 9, 2025 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan
3:0
May 11, 2025 Premier League
Zhetysu Taldykorgan vs Okzhetpes
1:3
Aug 12, 2023 Premier League
Okzhetpes vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Okzhetpes Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhangylyshbay T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Zhetysu Taldykorgan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Okzhetpes 85 / 100
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Okzhetpes Zhetysu Taldykorgan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Okzhetpes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Okzhetpes scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Zhetysu Taldykorgan has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Okzhetpes remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Okzhetpes VS Zhetysu Taldykorgan
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Okzhetpes

(Home)
18 Sept
Okzhetpes
3 : 1
Zhenis
13 Sept
Ertis Pavlodar
2 : 1
Okzhetpes
05 Sept
Okzhetpes
2 : 1
Ordabasy
29 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
2 : 3
Okzhetpes
16 Aug
Atyrau
0 : 2
Okzhetpes
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Zhetysu Taldykorgan

(Away)
10 Oct
Kairat Almaty
1 : 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
18 Sept
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
0 : 1
Kaspij Aktau
12 Sept
Yelimay Semey
2 : 1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
05 Sept
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
1 : 0
Ertis Pavlodar
29 Aug
Ulytau
3 : 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ordabasy 26 19 4 3 51:18 61
2 Kairat Almaty 27 18 6 3 52:20 60
3 FC Astana 26 14 6 6 43:27 48
4 Aktobe 27 13 6 8 41:32 45
5 Okzhetpes 26 13 6 7 41:35 45
6 Yelimay Semey 26 10 8 8 36:36 38
7 Tobol 27 11 4 12 35:36 37
8 Zhenis 27 8 8 11 27:34 32
9 Ulytau 26 8 8 10 24:32 32
10 Kaspij Aktau 26 8 5 13 27:36 29
11 Kyzylzhar 27 7 6 14 28:40 27
12 Atyrau 26 5 11 10 20:29 26
13 Ertis Pavlodar 26 6 8 12 26:36 26
14 Altai 26 6 7 13 26:36 25
15 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 4 12 10 22:33 24
16 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 27 5 7 15 26:45 22
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)