Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Okzhetpes W vs Tobol W

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

League Women Okzhetpes Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Kompaniets D.
Assist: Osipova P.
56' Event
Doskeyeva A.
Assist: Kompaniets D.

AI Match Summary

Tobol W in this League Women matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tobol W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Okzhetpes W
6%
Draws
4%
Tobol W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Okzhetpes W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tobol W lately — more wins on the board than Okzhetpes W.
  • Model gives Okzhetpes W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tobol W have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Okzhetpes W Clean Sheet 10%
Tobol W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Okzhetpes W Tobol W
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 2 10
Draws 2 3
Losses 30 16
Goals Scored 0.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 6.25 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 6.25 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2026 League Women
Okzhetpes W vs Tobol W
0:2
Jun 15, 2026 League Women
Tobol W vs Okzhetpes W
4:2
Sep 15, 2025 League Women
Okzhetpes W vs Tobol W
0:5
Jun 23, 2025 League Women
Tobol W vs Okzhetpes W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Okzhetpes W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Tobol W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kompaniets D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Doskeyeva A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Okzhetpes W 83 / 100
Tobol W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Okzhetpes W Tobol W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OKZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Tobol W let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Difficult form: Tobol W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Okzhetpes W found the back of the net in 32% of recent matches (34 games).

Scoring Trends

Okzhetpes W VS Tobol W
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
6.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1BIIK Shymkent W990081:027
2Tomiris-Turan W970222:721
3Kaisar Kyzylorda W961214:1319
4Atyrau W942314:1914
5Kairat W841320:1013
6Ordabasy W932410:2211
7Zhetysu W1022611:248
8Ulytau W90181:361
9Kaspij Aktau W80170:421
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aktobe W111100108:233
2Zhenis Astana W1081149:1825
3Yelimay Semey W1161428:2019
4Kyzylzhar W1052330:1417
5FC Astana W1051419:2416
6Tobol W1050513:2715
7Ertis Pavlodar W1033414:1512
8Shakhter Karagandy W102175:617
9Okzhetpes W101098:533
10Altai W100195:451