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Ol. Grudziadz vs Sandecja Nowy S. Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

Division 2 2025/2026 Stadion Miejski w Grudziądzu, Grudziądz
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Match Events

46'
Sub
Kaczmarek T. In: Koperski F.
Out: Kaczmarek T.
60' Event
Kolbon T.
Assist: Pietraszkiewicz D.
63'
Sub
Pawlowski M. In: Mas M.
Out: Pawlowski M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Sandecja Nowy S. advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Ol. Grudziadz
20%
Draws
23%
Sandecja Nowy S.
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ol. Grudziadz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Sandecja Nowy S. haven't matched Ol. Grudziadz's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ol. Grudziadz a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Ol. Grudziadz have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ol. Grudziadz, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Ol. Grudziadz Clean Sheet 16%
Sandecja Nowy S. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ol. Grudziadz Sandecja Nowy S.
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 6 10
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.24 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2026 Division 2
Ol. Grudziadz vs Sandecja Nowy S.
1:2
May 17, 2026 Division 2
Sandecja Nowy S. vs Ol. Grudziadz
1:3
Nov 2, 2025 Division 2
Ol. Grudziadz vs Sandecja Nowy S.
1:0
Nov 18, 2023 Division 2
Sandecja Nowy S. vs Ol. Grudziadz
1:0
Jul 22, 2023 Division 2
Ol. Grudziadz vs Sandecja Nowy S.
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ol. Grudziadz Compare

Top Goalscorer Frelek D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Sandecja Nowy S. Compare

Top Goalscorer Kolbon T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Plesnierowicz W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ol. Grudziadz 48 / 100
Sandecja Nowy S. 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ol. Grudziadz Sandecja Nowy S.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ol. Grudziadz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ol. Grudziadz scored in 97% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Sandecja Nowy S. conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Ol. Grudziadz has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ol. Grudziadz VS Sandecja Nowy S.
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ol. Grudziadz

(Home)
04 Oct
Zawisza
1 : 2
Ol. Grudziadz
19 Sept
Chojniczanka
3 : 1
Ol. Grudziadz
11 Sept
Kleczew
1 : 1
Ol. Grudziadz
06 Sept
Slask Wroclaw II
0 : 1
Ol. Grudziadz
02 Sept
Gornik Zabrze II
3 : 4
Ol. Grudziadz
Page 1 of 6

Sandecja Nowy S.

(Away)
03 Oct
Sandecja Nowy S.
1 : 3
Zielona Gora
20 Sept
Tychy
0 : 0
Sandecja Nowy S.
13 Sept
Sandecja Nowy S.
4 : 2
Slask Wroclaw II
05 Sept
Podhale Nowy Targ
2 : 1
Sandecja Nowy S.
01 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
3 : 2
Sandecja Nowy S.
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Podbeskidzie 2
Slask Wroclaw II 1
Ol. Grudziadz 1
Sandecja Nowy S. 2
Final
Podbeskidzie 3
Sandecja Nowy S. 1