Sport Picks

Stadium Background

OL Lyonnes W vs Marseille W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Coupe de la Ligue Women 2025/2026 Groupama Academy Stadium, Decines-Charpieu
OL Lyonnes W Logo

OL Lyonnes W

4 - 0
FT
Marseille W Logo

Marseille W

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Becho V.
27' Event
Benyahia I.
30' Event
Hegerberg A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with OL Lyonnes W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
OL Lyonnes W
30%
Draws
32%
Marseille W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: OL Lyonnes W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and OL Lyonnes W come out ahead of Marseille W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans OL Lyonnes W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • OL Lyonnes W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor OL Lyonnes W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • OL Lyonnes W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
OL Lyonnes W Clean Sheet 17%
Marseille W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OL Lyonnes W Marseille W
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 29 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 3.63 1.7
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
Marseille W vs OL Lyonnes W
2:6
Feb 4, 2026 Coupe de la Ligue Women
OL Lyonnes W vs Marseille W
4:0
Jan 24, 2026 Coupe de France Women
Marseille W vs OL Lyonnes W
1:5
Sep 7, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
OL Lyonnes W vs Marseille W
3:1
Aug 19, 2023 Club Friendly Women
OL Lyonnes W vs Marseille W
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

OL Lyonnes W Compare

Top Goalscorer Becho V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benyahia I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Marseille W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OL Lyonnes W 84 / 100
Marseille W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OL Lyonnes W Marseille W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OL Lyonnes W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OL Lyonnes W scored in 89% of their last 38 games.

Games between these two average 5.60 goals.

OL Lyonnes W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Marseille W let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

OL Lyonnes W VS Marseille W
4.88 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

OL Lyonnes W

(Home)
03 Oct
OL Lyonnes W
5 : 0
Toulouse W
30 Sept
OL Lyonnes W
0 : 0
Chelsea W
23 Sept
Servette W
0 : 8
OL Lyonnes W
18 Sept
Le Havre W
1 : 8
OL Lyonnes W
12 Sept
OL Lyonnes W
7 : 1
Paris FC W
Page 1 of 8

Marseille W

(Away)
03 Oct
Strasbourg W
3 : 3
Marseille W
26 Sept
Marseille W
6 : 1
Thonon Evian W
19 Sept
Montpellier W
0 : 0
Marseille W
12 Sept
Marseille W
2 : 1
Lens W
05 Sept
Marseille W
1 : 0
Le Havre W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Dijon W 2
Nantes W 1
OL Lyonnes W 4
Marseille W 0
PSG W 3
Thonon Evian W 0
Paris FC W 1
Lens W 0
Semi-finals
Dijon W 0
OL Lyonnes W 4
PSG W 3
Paris FC W 0
Final
OL Lyonnes W 1
PSG W 0