Sport Picks

Stadium Background

OL Lyonnes W vs Montpellier W Prediction & H2H Stats

France France

Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Lyon
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Shrader K.
Assist: Douvier L.
13' Event
Rafalski R.
Assist: Becho V.
16'
Chabod C.

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 game between OL Lyonnes W and Montpellier W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward OL Lyonnes W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
OL Lyonnes W
20%
Draws
28%
Montpellier W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: OL Lyonnes W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Montpellier W haven't matched OL Lyonnes W's recent run of results.
  • OL Lyonnes W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • OL Lyonnes W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
OL Lyonnes W Clean Sheet 68%
Montpellier W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OL Lyonnes W Montpellier W
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 25 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 3.7 1.34
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
OL Lyonnes W vs Montpellier W
3:1
Nov 7, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Montpellier W vs OL Lyonnes W
1:5
Jan 31, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Montpellier W vs OL Lyonnes W
1:4
Oct 5, 2024 Premiere Ligue Women
OL Lyonnes W vs Montpellier W
4:0
Jan 21, 2024 Premiere Ligue Women
Montpellier W vs OL Lyonnes W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

OL Lyonnes W Compare

Top Goalscorer Shrader K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rafalski R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Montpellier W Compare

Top Goalscorer Coquet J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OL Lyonnes W 95 / 100
Montpellier W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OL Lyonnes W Montpellier W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OL Lyonnes W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: OL Lyonnes W scored in 91% of their last 33 outings.

Montpellier W let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: OL Lyonnes W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

OL Lyonnes W VS Montpellier W
4.88 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

OL Lyonnes W

(Home)
30 Sept
OL Lyonnes W
0 : 0
Chelsea W
23 Sept
Servette W
0 : 8
OL Lyonnes W
18 Sept
Le Havre W
1 : 8
OL Lyonnes W
12 Sept
OL Lyonnes W
7 : 1
Paris FC W
04 Sept
Fleury 91 W
1 : 7
OL Lyonnes W
Page 1 of 7

Montpellier W

(Away)
19 Sept
Montpellier W
0 : 0
Marseille W
12 Sept
Saint-Malo W
1 : 0
Montpellier W
05 Sept
Montpellier W
5 : 1
Toulouse W
29 Aug
Montpellier W
0 : 3
Marseille W
22 Aug
Lille W
0 : 2
Montpellier W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OL Lyonnes W 22 19 3 0 76:11 60
2 Paris FC W 22 15 3 4 46:16 48
3 PSG W 22 15 2 5 48:26 47
4 Nantes W 22 12 5 5 42:34 41
5 Fleury 91 W 22 9 6 7 27:21 33
6 Dijon W 22 9 6 7 21:28 33
7 Strasbourg W 22 7 5 10 26:38 26
8 Le Havre W 22 5 6 11 25:45 21
9 Marseille W 22 5 4 13 26:44 19
10 Montpellier W 22 4 3 15 28:45 15
11 Lens W 22 4 3 15 20:50 15
12 St Etienne W 22 3 4 15 11:38 13
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Seconde Ligue Women (Main)