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OL Lyonnes W vs Toulouse W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Premiere Ligue Women Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Lyon
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Benyahia I.
25'
Gay L.
28' Event
Hegerberg A.
Assist: Brand J.

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Ligue Women game between OL Lyonnes W and Toulouse W finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward OL Lyonnes W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
OL Lyonnes W
20%
Draws
6%
Toulouse W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: OL Lyonnes W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and OL Lyonnes W come out ahead of Toulouse W on wins alone.
  • Model gives OL Lyonnes W a 74% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • History favors OL Lyonnes W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
OL Lyonnes W Clean Sheet 16%
Toulouse W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric OL Lyonnes W Toulouse W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 21 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 3.72 2.07
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 3.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
OL Lyonnes W vs Toulouse W
5:0
Feb 11, 2018 Coupe de France Women
OL Lyonnes W vs Toulouse W
11:0
Jan 6, 2013 Premiere Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs OL Lyonnes W
1:11
Sep 30, 2012 Premiere Ligue Women
OL Lyonnes W vs Toulouse W
7:0
May 29, 2011 Premiere Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs OL Lyonnes W
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

OL Lyonnes W Compare

Top Goalscorer Benyahia I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hegerberg A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.66

Toulouse W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

OL Lyonnes W 84 / 100
Toulouse W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
OL Lyonnes W Toulouse W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OL Lyonnes W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OL Lyonnes W found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 8.20 goals when they meet.

OL Lyonnes W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Toulouse W has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

OL Lyonnes W VS Toulouse W
4.88 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

OL Lyonnes W

(Home)
03 Oct
OL Lyonnes W
5 : 0
Toulouse W
30 Sept
OL Lyonnes W
0 : 0
Chelsea W
23 Sept
Servette W
0 : 8
OL Lyonnes W
18 Sept
Le Havre W
1 : 8
OL Lyonnes W
12 Sept
OL Lyonnes W
7 : 1
Paris FC W
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Toulouse W

(Away)
03 Oct
OL Lyonnes W
5 : 0
Toulouse W
19 Sept
Lens W
2 : 2
Toulouse W
12 Sept
Toulouse W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
05 Sept
Montpellier W
5 : 1
Toulouse W
29 Aug
Thonon Evian W
1 : 0
Toulouse W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OL Lyonnes W 4 4 0 0 27:3 12
2 PSG W 4 4 0 0 8:1 12
3 Paris FC W 4 3 0 1 9:8 9
4 Marseille W 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
5 Le Havre W 4 2 0 2 5:10 6
6 Montpellier W 4 1 2 1 6:3 5
7 Strasbourg W 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
8 Fleury 91 W 4 1 1 2 5:11 4
9 Saint-Malo W 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
10 Nantes W 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
11 Lens W 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
12 Toulouse W 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Seconde Ligue Women 2027/2028 (Main)