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Ol. Nicosia vs Aris Limassol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cyprus Cyprus

Cyprus League GSP Stadium, Nicosia
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ol. Nicosia host Aris Limassol in the Cyprus League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Aris Limassol have shipped 1.48 goals a game lately, while Ol. Nicosia have conceded 1.45 and scored 1.17. Past meetings favor Aris Limassol slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 4, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.66 - 1.60) back Ol. Nicosia to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Ol. Nicosia
35%
Draws
38%
Aris Limassol
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aris Limassol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Aris Limassol haven't matched Ol. Nicosia's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ol. Nicosia Clean Sheet 14%
Aris Limassol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ol. Nicosia Aris Limassol
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 8 7
Draws 10 11
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.17 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.66 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2026 Cyprus League
Ol. Nicosia vs Aris Limassol
0:0
Sep 15, 2025 Cyprus League
Aris Limassol vs Ol. Nicosia
2:0
Dec 16, 2022 Cyprus League
Ol. Nicosia vs Aris Limassol
0:0
Sep 2, 2022 Cyprus League
Aris Limassol vs Ol. Nicosia
5:0
Dec 3, 2021 Cyprus League
Aris Limassol vs Ol. Nicosia
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ol. Nicosia 31 / 100
Aris Limassol 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ol. Nicosia Aris Limassol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ol. Nicosia has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ol. Nicosia scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Aris Limassol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 33 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ol. Nicosia VS Aris Limassol
1.57 Goals Scored 1.5
1.71 Goals Conceded 1.75
71% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ol. Nicosia

(Home)
20 Sept
Omonia Aradippou
1 : 1
Ol. Nicosia
13 Sept
Ol. Nicosia
3 : 3
Omonia 29th May
07 Sept
Pafos
0 : 0
Ol. Nicosia
28 Aug
Ol. Nicosia
3 : 3
Nea Salamis
22 Aug
Ol. Nicosia
3 : 3
APOEL
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Aris Limassol

(Away)
03 Oct
Aris Limassol
1 : 2
Riga FC
26 Sept
Aris Limassol
4 : 2
Omonia 29th May
20 Sept
Aris Limassol
0 : 0
Karmiotissa
14 Sept
Krasava
0 : 1
Aris Limassol
07 Sept
Aris Limassol
1 : 4
Omonia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Omonia 5 3 2 0 11:2 11
2 AEK Larnaca 4 3 0 1 9:4 9
3 AEL Limassol 4 3 0 1 6:7 9
4 Pafos 4 2 1 1 4:2 7
5 Apollon Limassol 4 1 3 0 7:5 6
6 Omonia Aradippou 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
7 Omonia 29th May 4 1 2 1 9:7 5
8 Aris Limassol 4 1 2 1 4:6 5
9 APOEL 4 1 1 2 10:7 4
10 Ol. Nicosia 4 0 4 0 7:7 4
11 Nea Salamis 4 1 1 2 8:9 4
12 Anorthosis 4 1 0 3 3:9 3
13 Karmiotissa 5 0 3 2 3:9 3
14 Krasava 4 0 0 4 2:10 0
Promotion - Cyprus League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Cyprus League (Relegation Group)