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Olafsvik vs Throttur Vogar

Iceland Iceland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Aaras El Hmaidi N.
57' Event
Aaras El Hmaidi N.
63' Event
Omarsson E.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 game between Olafsvik and Throttur Vogar finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Olafsvik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Olafsvik
15%
Draws
32%
Throttur Vogar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olafsvik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Throttur Vogar haven't matched Olafsvik's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Olafsvik taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Olafsvik Clean Sheet 14%
Throttur Vogar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olafsvik Throttur Vogar
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 4 2
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.66 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Division 2
Olafsvik vs Throttur Vogar
2:1
Jun 10, 2026 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs Olafsvik
1:2
Aug 16, 2025 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs Olafsvik
2:1
Jun 9, 2025 Division 2
Olafsvik vs Throttur Vogar
2:0
Jul 26, 2024 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs Olafsvik
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olafsvik Compare

Top Goalscorer Aaras El Hmaidi N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Throttur Vogar Compare

Top Goalscorer Omarsson E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olafsvik 35 / 100
Throttur Vogar 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olafsvik Throttur Vogar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olafsvik's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Throttur Vogar let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Olafsvik went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olafsvik VS Throttur Vogar
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Olafsvik

(Home)
19 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 1
Throttur Vogar
15 Aug
Kari
4 : 1
Olafsvik
10 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 0
Selfoss
29 Jul
Olafsvik
2 : 2
Fjolnir
25 Jul
Dalvik/Reynir
0 : 1
Olafsvik
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Throttur Vogar

(Away)
19 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 1
Throttur Vogar
15 Aug
Throttur Vogar
2 : 0
Dalvik/Reynir
09 Aug
Kormakur/Hvot
2 : 0
Throttur Vogar
29 Jul
Throttur Vogar
3 : 1
Hviti
25 Jul
KFA
4 : 2
Throttur Vogar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haukar 18 13 2 3 45:23 41
2 Selfoss 18 9 6 3 42:33 33
3 Kari 18 7 9 2 47:29 30
4 Olafsvik 18 8 4 6 26:30 28
5 Fjolnir 18 7 4 7 43:40 25
6 Kormakur/Hvot 18 6 6 6 35:26 24
7 KFA 18 7 2 9 40:36 23
8 Dalvik/Reynir 18 6 4 8 26:29 22
9 Magni 18 6 4 8 31:43 22
10 Throttur Vogar 18 6 1 11 29:35 19
11 Hviti 18 3 7 8 21:37 16
12 KFG Gardabaer 18 5 1 12 29:53 16
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