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Olafsvik vs Throttur Vogar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Aaras El Hmaidi N.
57' Event
Aaras El Hmaidi N.
63' Event
Omarsson E.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 game between Olafsvik and Throttur Vogar finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Olafsvik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Olafsvik
15%
Draws
34%
Throttur Vogar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olafsvik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Throttur Vogar haven't matched Olafsvik's recent run of results.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Olafsvik Clean Sheet 11%
Throttur Vogar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olafsvik Throttur Vogar
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 4 3
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.68 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Division 2
Olafsvik vs Throttur Vogar
2:1
Jun 10, 2026 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs Olafsvik
1:2
Aug 16, 2025 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs Olafsvik
2:1
Jun 9, 2025 Division 2
Olafsvik vs Throttur Vogar
2:0
Jul 26, 2024 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs Olafsvik
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olafsvik Compare

Top Goalscorer Aaras El Hmaidi N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Throttur Vogar Compare

Top Goalscorer Omarsson E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olafsvik 30 / 100
Throttur Vogar 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olafsvik Throttur Vogar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Throttur Vogar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olafsvik's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Throttur Vogar let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Throttur Vogar lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olafsvik VS Throttur Vogar
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Olafsvik

(Home)
12 Sept
Olafsvik
4 : 0
KFA
05 Sept
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 1
Olafsvik
29 Aug
Olafsvik
1 : 4
Haukar
23 Aug
Magni
3 : 1
Olafsvik
19 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 1
Throttur Vogar
Page 1 of 7

Throttur Vogar

(Away)
12 Sept
Throttur Vogar
2 : 1
Magni
05 Sept
Fjolnir
1 : 1
Throttur Vogar
28 Aug
Kari
2 : 0
Throttur Vogar
23 Aug
Throttur Vogar
1 : 3
Selfoss
19 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 1
Throttur Vogar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haukar 22 15 2 5 55:32 47
2 Selfoss 22 13 6 3 55:36 45
3 Kari 22 11 9 2 56:29 42
4 Dalvik/Reynir 22 9 4 9 37:37 31
5 Olafsvik 22 9 4 9 33:41 31
6 Fjolnir 22 8 6 8 49:46 30
7 KFA 22 9 2 11 51:45 29
8 Kormakur/Hvot 22 7 6 9 42:38 27
9 Magni 22 7 4 11 35:54 25
10 Throttur Vogar 22 7 2 13 33:42 23
11 KFG Gardabaer 22 7 1 14 38:58 22
12 Hviti 22 3 8 11 28:54 17
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