Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Olancho vs Juticalpa

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas, Juticalpa
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Gomez H.
31'
Zuniga Bernardez C. J.
37'
Kelly K.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between Olancho and Juticalpa finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Olancho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Olancho
35%
Draws
28%
Juticalpa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Olancho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Olancho come out ahead of Juticalpa on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Olancho's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Olancho Clean Sheet 20%
Juticalpa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olancho Juticalpa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 13 7
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 1.23 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.83 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2026 Liga Nacional
Olancho vs Juticalpa
1:0
Apr 9, 2026 Liga Nacional
Juticalpa vs Olancho
0:4
Feb 14, 2026 Liga Nacional
Olancho vs Juticalpa
4:1
Oct 16, 2025 Liga Nacional
Olancho vs Juticalpa
0:1
Aug 2, 2025 Liga Nacional
Juticalpa vs Olancho
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olancho Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramirez Arauz M. R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Juticalpa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olancho 85 / 100
Juticalpa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olancho Juticalpa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olancho Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Juticalpa conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Olancho found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Olancho stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olancho VS Juticalpa
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Olancho

(Home)
19 Sept
Genesis FC
0 : 0
Olancho
12 Sept
Olancho
1 : 1
Real Espana
05 Sept
CD Choloma
0 : 0
Olancho
30 Aug
Motagua
2 : 1
Olancho
23 Aug
Olancho
1 : 1
Olimpia
Page 1 of 6

Juticalpa

(Away)
14 Sept
Atletico Independiente
2 : 1
Juticalpa
07 Sept
Juticalpa
0 : 3
Genesis FC
29 Aug
Juticalpa
1 : 0
Lobos UPNFM
22 Aug
Estrella
5 : 2
Juticalpa
17 Aug
Olancho
1 : 0
Juticalpa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Espana 8 5 3 0 13:4 18
2 Marathon 7 5 2 0 12:3 17
3 Olimpia 7 4 2 1 15:7 14
4 Motagua 8 4 1 3 11:8 13
5 Genesis FC 8 3 2 3 10:6 11
6 Olancho 8 2 5 1 6:5 11
7 Atletico Independiente 7 2 3 2 7:7 9
8 Estrella 8 2 3 3 13:16 9
9 Lobos UPNFM 8 2 2 4 7:12 8
10 CD Choloma 8 2 1 5 6:8 7
11 Platense 8 1 2 5 6:18 5
12 Juticalpa 7 1 0 6 5:17 3
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga Nacional (Relegation)