Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Olancho vs Lobos UPNFM - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional Estadio Juan Ramon Breve Vargas, Juticalpa
Wed, Nov 4, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Olancho host Lobos UPNFM in the Liga Nacional. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Olancho at 1.23 goals for, 0.84 against; Lobos UPNFM at 1.03 for, 1.45 against. Head-to-head, Olancho have won 0 to Lobos UPNFM's 1, with 4 draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.19 - 0.81) back Olancho to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Olancho
35%
Draws
41%
Lobos UPNFM
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lobos UPNFM

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Olancho lately — more wins on the board than Lobos UPNFM.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Olancho taking it.
  • Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Olancho Clean Sheet 20%
Lobos UPNFM Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olancho Lobos UPNFM
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 14 9
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.23 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Liga Nacional
Lobos UPNFM vs Olancho
1:1
Mar 24, 2026 Liga Nacional
Lobos UPNFM vs Olancho
2:1
Feb 2, 2026 Liga Nacional
Olancho vs Lobos UPNFM
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 Liga Nacional
Olancho vs Lobos UPNFM
1:1
Sep 10, 2025 Liga Nacional
Lobos UPNFM vs Olancho
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olancho 36 / 100
Lobos UPNFM 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olancho Lobos UPNFM

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Olancho scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Lobos UPNFM let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Olancho stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olancho VS Lobos UPNFM
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Olancho

(Home)
11 Oct
Olancho
1 : 1
Atletico Independiente
19 Sept
Genesis FC
0 : 0
Olancho
12 Sept
Olancho
1 : 1
Real Espana
05 Sept
CD Choloma
0 : 0
Olancho
30 Aug
Motagua
2 : 1
Olancho
Page 1 of 7

Lobos UPNFM

(Away)
11 Oct
Lobos UPNFM
0 : 0
Marathon
18 Sept
Platense
0 : 2
Lobos UPNFM
13 Sept
Lobos UPNFM
1 : 0
CD Choloma
06 Sept
Real Espana
2 : 0
Lobos UPNFM
29 Aug
Juticalpa
1 : 0
Lobos UPNFM
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Espana 9 6 3 0 14:4 21
2 Olimpia 9 6 2 1 20:7 20
3 Marathon 9 5 3 1 14:6 18
4 Motagua 9 5 1 3 13:9 16
5 Olancho 9 2 6 1 7:6 12
6 Genesis FC 9 3 2 4 10:7 11
7 Atletico Independiente 9 2 4 3 8:12 10
8 Estrella 9 2 3 4 13:17 9
9 Lobos UPNFM 9 2 3 4 7:12 9
10 Platense 9 2 2 5 8:19 8
11 CD Choloma 9 2 1 6 7:10 7
12 Juticalpa 9 2 0 7 9:21 6
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga Nacional (Relegation)