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Olaria vs Cabofriense

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Olaria Logo

Olaria

1 - 0
FT
Cabofriense Logo

Cabofriense

Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Yuri
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Olaria in this Carioca 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olaria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Olaria
35%
Draws
19%
Cabofriense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Olaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Olaria have won more games recently than Cabofriense.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Olaria taking it.
  • Regular Carioca 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Olaria Clean Sheet 68%
Cabofriense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olaria Cabofriense
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 12 12
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Carioca 2
Olaria vs Cabofriense
1:0
Jul 6, 2025 Carioca 2
Cabofriense vs Olaria
2:1
Sep 11, 2024 Copa Rio
Olaria vs Cabofriense
2:0
Sep 4, 2024 Copa Rio
Cabofriense vs Olaria
0:0
Jun 23, 2024 Carioca 2
Cabofriense vs Olaria
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Yuri
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Cabofriense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olaria 68 / 100
Cabofriense 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olaria Cabofriense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olaria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cabofriense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Olaria went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cabofriense lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olaria VS Cabofriense
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Olaria

(Home)
12 Aug
Nova Iguacu
0 : 0
Olaria
05 Aug
Olaria
0 : 1
Nova Iguacu
22 Jul
Bangu
1 : 1
Olaria
15 Jul
Olaria
2 : 0
Bangu
04 Jul
Olaria
0 : 1
Bonsucesso
Page 1 of 7

Cabofriense

(Away)
04 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
1 : 1
Cabofriense
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2
Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Cabofriense
0 : 0
Bonsucesso
20 Jun
Olaria
1 : 0
Cabofriense
17 Jun
Bonsucesso
3 : 1
Cabofriense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Americano 11 8 1 2 18:9 25
2 Marica 11 7 3 1 11:7 24
3 Resende 11 5 4 2 16:9 19
4 America RJ 11 5 1 5 18:14 16
5 Perolas Negras 11 5 1 5 11:15 16
6 Sao Goncalo 11 4 2 5 11:10 14
7 Bonsucesso 11 4 2 5 10:11 14
8 Olaria 11 3 4 4 11:11 13
9 Cabofriense 11 3 3 5 12:13 12
10 CEAC/Araruama 11 3 2 6 11:15 11
11 Serrano FC 11 2 5 4 10:18 11
12 Audax RJ 11 3 0 8 10:17 9
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)