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Olaria vs Perolas Negras

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2 2025
Olaria Logo

Olaria

1 - 1
FT
Perolas Negras Logo

Perolas Negras

Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Gabriel Cipriano
68' Event
Elivelton
90'
Carlao
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Carioca 2 2025 game between Olaria and Perolas Negras finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Olaria
30%
Draws
41%
Perolas Negras
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Perolas Negras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Perolas Negras carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Olaria a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Olaria Clean Sheet 68%
Perolas Negras Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olaria Perolas Negras
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 11 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Carioca 2
Olaria vs Perolas Negras
2:0
Jun 28, 2025 Carioca 2
Olaria vs Perolas Negras
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Cipriano
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Perolas Negras Compare

Top Goalscorer Elivelton
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olaria 51 / 100
Perolas Negras 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olaria Perolas Negras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olaria's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Perolas Negras conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Olaria went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Olaria VS Perolas Negras
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Olaria

(Home)
12 Aug
Nova Iguacu
0 : 0
Olaria
05 Aug
Olaria
0 : 1
Nova Iguacu
22 Jul
Bangu
1 : 1
Olaria
15 Jul
Olaria
2 : 0
Bangu
04 Jul
Olaria
0 : 1
Bonsucesso
Page 1 of 6

Perolas Negras

(Away)
22 Jul
Marica
3 : 0
Perolas Negras
15 Jul
Perolas Negras
0 : 0
Marica
04 Jul
Marica
2 : 0
Perolas Negras
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2
Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Perolas Negras
5 : 1
Santa Cruz RJ
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Goncalo 11 5 4 2 13:8 19
2 Bangu 11 4 4 3 11:8 16
3 CEAC/Araruama 11 4 4 3 8:9 16
4 Olaria 11 4 3 4 14:10 15
5 Resende 11 4 3 4 8:10 15
6 America RJ 11 3 5 3 7:7 14
7 Cabofriense 11 3 5 3 9:10 14
8 Perolas Negras 11 3 4 4 10:10 13
9 Americano 11 4 4 3 13:10 12
10 Audax RJ 11 3 3 5 11:15 12
11 Duque de Caxias 11 3 3 5 8:12 12
12 Goncalense 11 2 6 3 9:12 12
Promotion - Carioca 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 2025 (Main)