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Olbia vs Montespaccato Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 Bruno Nespoli, Olbia
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Vitolo F.

AI Match Summary

Montespaccato in this Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montespaccato.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Olbia
20%
Draws
10%
Montespaccato
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Olbia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Montespaccato average 1.5 goals a game right now, well clear of Olbia's 1.1.
  • Win probability leans Olbia's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.2%
Olbia Clean Sheet 68%
Montespaccato Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olbia Montespaccato
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 6
Draws 12 12
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Olbia vs Montespaccato
0:1
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Montespaccato vs Olbia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olbia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Montespaccato Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitolo F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olbia 68 / 100
Montespaccato 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olbia Montespaccato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olbia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Montespaccato conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Olbia scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Olbia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Olbia VS Montespaccato
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Olbia

(Home)
10 May
Ischia
2 : 1
Olbia
03 May
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2
Olbia
26 Apr
Olbia
2 : 1
Anzio Calcio 1924
19 Apr
Olbia
3 : 2
Trastevere Calcio
12 Apr
Scafatese
4 : 1
Olbia
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Montespaccato

(Away)
03 May
Montespaccato
2 : 4
Flaminia
26 Apr
Ischia
1 : 0
Montespaccato
19 Apr
Montespaccato
2 : 3
Latte Dolce
12 Apr
Valmontone
3 : 2
Montespaccato
02 Apr
Montespaccato
1 : 1
Atl. Lodigiani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)