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Olbia vs Sarrabus Ogliastra Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 Bruno Nespoli, Olbia
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Rosseti V.

AI Match Summary

Sarrabus Ogliastra in this Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sarrabus Ogliastra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Olbia
30%
Draws
29%
Sarrabus Ogliastra
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Olbia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Olbia haven't matched Sarrabus Ogliastra's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Olbia's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Olbia Clean Sheet 17%
Sarrabus Ogliastra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Olbia Sarrabus Ogliastra
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 6 9
Draws 12 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.34 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Olbia
2:2
Dec 20, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Olbia vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
0:1
Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Olbia
1:1
Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Olbia vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Olbia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.67

Sarrabus Ogliastra Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosseti V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Olbia 36 / 100
Sarrabus Ogliastra 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Olbia Sarrabus Ogliastra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olbia found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Sarrabus Ogliastra conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Olbia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Olbia VS Sarrabus Ogliastra
1.43 Goals Scored 1
1.86 Goals Conceded 1.25
86% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Olbia

(Home)
10 May
Ischia
2 : 1
Olbia
03 May
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2
Olbia
26 Apr
Olbia
2 : 1
Anzio Calcio 1924
19 Apr
Olbia
3 : 2
Trastevere Calcio
12 Apr
Scafatese
4 : 1
Olbia
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Sarrabus Ogliastra

(Away)
27 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2
Unipomezia
20 Sept
Albalonga
1 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
16 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 2
Certosa V. Campagnano
13 Sept
Anzio Calcio 1924
0 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
06 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
1 : 2
Monastir
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)