Sport Picks

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Old Road vs Aston Villa

Antigua & Barbuda Antigua & Barbuda

ABFA Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aston Villa in this ABFA Premier League matchup, with the score ending 4-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aston Villa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Old Road
30%
Draws
47%
Aston Villa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aston Villa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Aston Villa have won more games recently than Old Road.
  • Win probability leans Old Road's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular ABFA Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Old Road Clean Sheet 10%
Aston Villa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Old Road Aston Villa
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 15 20
Draws 6 3
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 3.19 3.03
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 ABFA Premier League
Old Road vs Aston Villa
4:5
Dec 27, 2025 ABFA Premier League
Aston Villa vs Old Road
3:1
Jan 5, 2025 ABFA Premier League
Old Road vs Aston Villa
4:1
Jan 20, 2024 ABFA Premier League
Old Road vs Aston Villa
4:2
Feb 6, 2023 ABFA Premier League
Aston Villa vs Old Road
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Old Road 83 / 100
Aston Villa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Old Road Aston Villa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Old Road Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Old Road's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Aston Villa has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Old Road remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Old Road VS Aston Villa
2.88 Goals Scored 2.88
2 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Old Road

(Home)
29 Apr
Old Road
0 : 3
Grenades
25 Apr
Old Road
14 : 0
Jennings Utd
04 Apr
Attacking Saints
3 : 3
Old Road
28 Mar
All Saints United
3 : 0
Old Road
22 Mar
Old Road
4 : 5
Aston Villa
Page 1 of 7

Aston Villa

(Away)
26 Apr
Aston Villa
2 : 2
Green City
18 Apr
Aston Villa
9 : 0
Jennings Utd
11 Apr
Aston Villa
1 : 7
Grenades
04 Apr
Ottos Rangers
2 : 2
Aston Villa
28 Mar
Attacking Saints
2 : 3
Aston Villa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grenades 22 19 2 1 65:18 59
2 All Saints United 22 18 2 2 72:19 56
3 Aston Villa 22 14 2 6 69:43 44
4 Pigotts Bullets 22 12 3 7 40:25 39
5 Old Road 22 10 6 6 75:37 36
6 Potters FC 22 9 6 7 41:36 33
7 Garden Stars 22 8 7 7 48:40 31
8 Green City 22 6 5 11 35:41 23
9 Attacking Saints 22 7 2 13 37:49 23
10 John Hughes 22 5 1 16 17:68 16
11 Ottos Rangers 22 3 2 17 24:67 11
12 Jennings Utd 22 2 0 20 10:90 6
Promotion - ABFA Premier League (Play Offs)