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Old Road vs Liberta Prediction & H2H Stats

Antigua & Barbuda Antigua & Barbuda

ABFA Premier League 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The ABFA Premier League 2016/2017 game between Old Road and Liberta finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Liberta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Old Road
20%
Draws
16%
Liberta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Old Road

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Old Road come out ahead of Liberta on wins alone.
  • Model gives Old Road a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Old Road have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Old Road Clean Sheet 20%
Liberta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Old Road Liberta
Matches Played 39 31
Wins 21 5
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 3.23 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.44 2.81
Expected Goals (xG) 2.29 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2023 ABFA Premier League
Liberta vs Old Road
0:4
Feb 24, 2020 ABFA Premier League
Old Road vs Liberta
3:1
Nov 11, 2019 ABFA Premier League
Liberta vs Old Road
2:3
Feb 23, 2019 ABFA Premier League
Liberta vs Old Road
2:1
Dec 2, 2018 ABFA Premier League
Liberta vs Old Road
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Old Road 85 / 100
Liberta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Old Road Liberta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Old Road Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Old Road scored in 85% of their last 39 games.

Liberta let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Away concern: Liberta has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Old Road VS -
3.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Old Road

(Home)
29 Apr
Old Road
0 : 3
Grenades
25 Apr
Old Road
14 : 0
Jennings Utd
04 Apr
Attacking Saints
3 : 3
Old Road
28 Mar
All Saints United
3 : 0
Old Road
22 Mar
Old Road
4 : 5
Aston Villa
Page 1 of 8

Liberta

(Away)
26 Apr
Parham
7 : 1
Liberta
16 Apr
Empire FC
5 : 1
Liberta
10 Apr
Grenades
5 : 1
Liberta
24 Mar
Empire FC
7 : 2
Liberta
19 Mar
Pigotts Bullets
0 : 0
Liberta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parham 18 14 2 2 45:15 44
2 Greenbay Hoppers 18 11 4 3 41:16 37
3 Grenades 18 10 6 2 33:19 36
4 Old Road 18 9 5 4 40:27 32
5 Empire FC 18 6 5 7 31:29 23
6 Pigotts Bullets 18 7 2 9 22:27 23
7 Tryum 18 5 4 9 23:35 19
8 SAP 18 5 3 10 24:33 18
9 Liberta 18 4 0 14 15:46 12
10 Glanvilles FC 18 2 3 13 18:45 9
Relegation - ABFA Premier League 2016/2017 (Relegation)