Sport Picks

England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Boundary Park, Oldham

Oldham

2 - 6

Bolton

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Sub

Simeu D. In: Olson C.

Out: Simeu D.

36'

Morley A.

Penalty Missed

44'

Osei-Tutu J.

Assist: Taylor R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-6, with Bolton advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%

Oldham

15%

Draws

36%

Bolton

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oldham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Oldham come out ahead of Bolton on wins alone.
Model gives Oldham a 49% chance of winning this.
Oldham have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Bolton, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Oldham Clean Sheet 20%

Bolton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Oldham	Bolton
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	13	11
Draws	3	9
Losses	12	9
Goals Scored	1.61	1.59
Goals Conceded	1.07	1.34
Expected Goals (xG)	1.56	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Club Friendly

Oldham vs Bolton

1:3

Nov 11, 2025 EFL Trophy

Oldham vs Bolton

2:6

Mar 2, 2021 League Two

Oldham vs Bolton

0:2

Oct 17, 2020 League Two

Bolton vs Oldham

1:2

Apr 15, 2017 League One

Oldham vs Bolton

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oldham Compare

Top Goalscorer Drummond K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Morris K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.2

Avg xA / game 0.78

Bolton Compare

Top Goalscorer Forss M.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Osei-Tutu J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oldham 76 / 100

Bolton 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Oldham Bolton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oldham Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oldham scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Bolton has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Bolton registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Oldham VS Bolton

1.5 Goals Scored 0.88

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63

100% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Oldham

(Home)

12 Sept

Oldham

1 : 2

Chesterfield

05 Sept

Tranmere

2 : 0

Oldham

01 Sept

Fleetwood Town

1 : 1

Oldham

29 Aug

Oldham

3 : 0

Swindon

22 Aug

Colchester

2 : 1

Oldham

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Bolton

(Away)

12 Sept

Bolton

1 : 0

Cardiff

08 Sept

Bolton

2 : 3

West Ham

05 Sept

Millwall

4 : 0

Bolton

01 Sept

Sheffield Utd

3 : 2

Bolton

29 Aug

Bolton

0 : 1

Lincoln City

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