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Oldham vs Bolton

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Rodrigues R.
24' Event
Rodrigues R.
46'
Sub
Sheehan J. In: Simons X.
Out: Sheehan J.

AI Match Summary

Bolton in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bolton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Oldham
22%
Draws
60%
Bolton
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Bolton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Bolton have won more games recently than Oldham.
  • Model gives Bolton a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Oldham Clean Sheet 10%
Bolton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oldham Bolton
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 5 11
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.25 2.25
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Oldham vs Bolton
1:3
Nov 11, 2025 EFL Trophy
Oldham vs Bolton
2:6
Mar 2, 2021 League Two
Oldham vs Bolton
0:2
Oct 17, 2020 League Two
Bolton vs Oldham
1:2
Apr 15, 2017 League One
Oldham vs Bolton
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oldham Compare

Top Goalscorer Kavanagh C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Bolton Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigues R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader McAtee J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oldham 18 / 100
Bolton 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oldham Bolton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oldham found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Bolton conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Oldham remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Oldham VS Bolton
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Oldham

(Home)
28 Jul
Oldham
0 : 1
Stockport County
24 Jul
Huddersfield
3 : 1
Oldham
21 Jul
Oldham
1 : 3
Bolton
02 May
Oldham
3 : 0
Accrington
25 Apr
Newport
3 : 2
Oldham
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Bolton

(Away)
28 Jul
Fleetwood Town
1 : 1
Bolton
25 Jul
Bolton
0 : 0
Everton
21 Jul
Oldham
1 : 3
Bolton
17 Jul
Dun. Streda
2 : 1
Bolton
24 May
Bolton
4 : 1
Stockport County
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