Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Oldham vs Bolton

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Rodrigues R.
24' Event
Rodrigues R.
46'
Sub
Sheehan J. In: Simons X.
Out: Sheehan J.

AI Match Summary

Bolton in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bolton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Oldham
15%
Draws
51%
Bolton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bolton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Oldham have won more games recently than Bolton.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Oldham Clean Sheet 20%
Bolton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Oldham Bolton
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 3 9
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.52 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Oldham vs Bolton
1:3
Nov 11, 2025 EFL Trophy
Oldham vs Bolton
2:6
Mar 2, 2021 League Two
Oldham vs Bolton
0:2
Oct 17, 2020 League Two
Bolton vs Oldham
1:2
Apr 15, 2017 League One
Oldham vs Bolton
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Oldham Compare

Top Goalscorer Kavanagh C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Bolton Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigues R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader McAtee J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Oldham 31 / 100
Bolton 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Oldham Bolton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oldham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Oldham found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Bolton conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: Bolton has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Oldham VS Bolton
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Oldham

(Home)
22 Sept
Oldham
1 : 0
Fleetwood Town
19 Sept
Rochdale
2 : 0
Oldham
12 Sept
Oldham
1 : 2
Chesterfield
05 Sept
Tranmere
2 : 0
Oldham
01 Sept
Fleetwood Town
1 : 1
Oldham
Page 1 of 6

Bolton

(Away)
20 Sept
Norwich
3 : 4
Bolton
12 Sept
Bolton
1 : 0
Cardiff
08 Sept
Bolton
2 : 3
West Ham
05 Sept
Millwall
4 : 0
Bolton
01 Sept
Sheffield Utd
3 : 2
Bolton
Page 1 of 6